Euroleague Tips with Previews – Play Offs 30/4

Euroleague basketball predictions

Euroleague Play Offs tips

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Zenit – Barcelona (1-2)

Zenit upset Barca in Spain in Game 1 by a narrow 74-76 and had a late shot attempt to win Game 2, as well. When that shot missed, however, the game went to overtime and Barcelona got its first win of the series, 81-78. In Russia for Game 3, Barca kept it going with a 70-78 decision. Zenit got as close as a point from the lead in the last quarter, but Brandon Davies stepped up once again to put the guests in a safe place.

Do-or-die drama comes to this best-of-five series as Zenit St Petersburg needs to win to survive when it hosts Game 4 against FC Barcelona on Friday. After having dropped the home opener to Zenit, the visitors managed to turn the series around to lead 1-2 with consecutive victories, the last on Wednesday in St Petersburg to flip home-court advantage for the second time in the series. But Barca might not need that extra home game as a victory on Friday would its Final Four ticket. If Zenit succeeds in getting the first home playoff win in club history, however, the series will move back to Barcelona for a decisive Game 5 next Tuesday.

Zenit is between a rock and a hard place. A loss would make the Russian team step down. The series has been as close as they come, and playing at home with fans Zenit will do it all to stretch its dream at least for one more game. These are the EuroLeague’s two best defenses going against each other, but in part due to injuries, Zenit has struggled a bit under the boards, so keeping players like Brandon Davies and Pau Gasol in check there could give the hosts the extra oomph needed to even the series. At this point, both teams know each other well, so Zenit will put all its heart on the court to take the series to a fifth and final game.

After struggling in the series opener, Barcelona has regrouped and managed to win two games in a row, even if neither was the least bit easy. The Catalan team leads all playoff teams in accuracy from beyond the arc, at 52.5%, and that is now proving to be crucial in pulling out these narrow wins. Barcelona’s main focus will be stopping Kevin Pangos and Baron while also concentrating on making the best defense in the league keep working at full throttle. One more win and Barca will reach its first Final Four since 2014.

basketball prediction Tip: Zenit – Barcelona Under 149.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 30/04/2021, 08:50 CET, subject to change)

Bayern – Milano (1-2)

FC Bayern Munich hopes to protect its home court once more this season when it hosts AX Armani Exchange Milan in Game 4 of their best-of-five playoff series on Friday. Bayern made history with an 85-79 win in Game 3, the first-ever EuroLeague Playoffs victory for any German club, cutting Milan’s series lead to 2-1. On Friday, again at the Audi Dome, Bayern will continue its quest to become the first team to win a EuroLeague Playoff series after trailing 0-2. Milan will look to bounce back as it aims to return to the Final four for the first time in 29 years.

Bayern dominated on the glass in Game 3, outrebounding the visitors 37-29, and did a great job moving the ball with 18 assists. Bayern needs to keep playing to its strengths. No team averages more two-point attempts this season than Bayern (41.6 per game), and that’s what the team did on Wednesday when it attempted 40 two-point shots and only 13 triples. It is a recipe that has worked for Bayern this entire season, so expect the hosts to apply it again on Friday.

Milan is the EuroLeague’s best team this season at taking care of basketball, averaging a league-low 10.8 turnovers per game. Milan was even better with 9.0 per game in the first two games of the series and had just 11 turnovers in Game 3. However, Milan dished just 11 assists on Wednesday and averages 11.3 for the series. In a hard-fought series, Milan has struggled with its shooting (49.6% 2FG and 31.0% 3FG), and until the shots start falling more consistently, Milan must stay low on turnovers to have a chance to win.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 30/04/2021, 08:50 CET, subject to change)

News Source: Euroleague.net

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