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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Khimki – ALBA Berlin

Khimki Moscow Region will look to keep its momentum going and put together back-to-back wins for the first time this season when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Friday. Khimki defeated Real Madrid on Tuesday to snap a 17-game losing streak and improve to 3-23. ALBA faltered in the fourth quarter in losing at Zenit St Petersburg on Tuesday. It was the German champs’ third straight loss on the road. ALBA is 4-9 in road games this season.

It all starts with defense for Khimki. With Alexey Shved, Errick McCollum and Jordan Mickey, all know that Khimki can score in bunches. However, it has also allowed the most points in the league (90.5 ppg.) by far; ALBA is second on that list with 82.7. In Khimki’s three wins, the opponents have averaged only 79.0 points. Keeping ALBA below 80 may be the key for the hosts.

  • Devin Booker has missed the last six games.
  • Stefan Jovic has not played in the last five games.
  • Janis Timma did not play in the last two games.
  • Khimki parted ways with Dairis Bertans.

For a team with many great three-point shooters, ALBA’s 35.8% accuracy for the season is surprisingly low. A healthy Marcus Eriksson and Niels Giffey should help raise that number. Khimki has allowed its opponents to make a league-best 43.3% on threes and if ALBA can take advantage and light up the scoreboard from downtown, it would be in a better spot to challenge for a road win in Moscow.

  • Jayson Granger is out after having hand surgery.
  • Louis Olinde is expected to miss several weeks after injuring his hand ahead of Round 25.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 170.5 at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

Zalgiris – Milano

Two teams coming off opposite experiences earlier this week will square off Friday as Zalgiris Kaunas (15-12) welcomes AX Armani Exchange Milan (17-10) for Round 28. After a losing skid, Zalgiris was back to winning on Tuesday against ASVEL, 85-75. On the other hand, Milan saw its incipient winning streak snapped at home against Fenerbahce, 92-100. Milan plays to stay among the top four teams in the league, while Zalgiris sits at ninth place and could get into playoffs position with a win.

Facing a Milan offense that ranks third in scoring (82.0 ppg.), Zalgiris will have to power up its defense, especially on the perimeter, where the visitors own the league’s best three-point proficiency (42.5%). Zalgiris is also the worst team in blocks per game (1.1), so defense in the paint against Milan’s big men will also be paramount. Zalgiris boasts solid stats across a wide range of categories, all of which might be needed to hold serve at home against a dangerous visitor.

Milan suffered a tough loss at home, but on paper has been a bit more consistent than Zalgiris. Since the hosts lead the league from the free-throw line (85.5%), the fewer trips they take to that spot, the better for Milan. However, the PIR averages for both teams stay very close to each other (87.8 to 89.9) so it seems that it will all come down to details in this battle with high stakes.

  • Zach LeDay has missed the last four games with an injury.
  • Malcolm Delaney did not play in Round 27.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 154.5 at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

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Olympiacos – Crvena Zvezda

One team will end an eight-game losing streak on Friday as Olympiacos Piraeus (11-16) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (7-20) for Round 28. The Reds are currently on a bad streak that started in Round 20 and continued earlier this week with a tough, 91-66 defeat at Baskonia. Already-eliminated Zvezda is in the same situation. They have not won since Round 19 and fell earlier this week at home against Bayern by a close 76-78. This game will be the reprieve that one of these teams need.

If Olympiacos wants to get back in the playoffs race, it needs to win ASAP, as there will not be many more chances to do so on its home floor. Also, Zvezda has the worst scoring (73.5 ppg.) and assists (14.1 apg.) in the league, so solid defense should let the Reds run a bit on offense to try to get easier buckets. The hosts will have to overcome some key absences, and if the game gets as close as their previous one, details could be key, including their 77.4% from the stripe, seventh worst in the league, against Zvezda’s fourth-best 82.3%.

  • Kostas Papanikolaou has missed Olympiacos’s last 12 games.
  • Georgios Printezis did not play in Round 27.
  • Hassan Martin is sidelined with a knee injury.

The guests are in a bad spot, no question. With just seven more possible wins, the best they could so this season is a 14-20, which means they are mathematically out of the playoffs. However, this game could be a good chance for Zvezda to get back on the winning track and try to get some team chemistry back after all the COVID issues it has suffered the last weeks. Olympiacos will be playing for its survival in this game, but with nothing to lose, Zvezda could regroup and play without fear to try to play spoiler and boost morale for the rest of the season.

  • Landry Nnoko, Duop Reath and Quino Colom all missed the last four games because of COVID-19.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 152.5 at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

Villeurbanne – Fenerbahce

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (12-15) comes off a loss after six consecutive victories and hopes to bounce back at home. Norris Cole (13.8 ppg.), David Lighty (11.7 ppg.) and Moustapha Fall (9.4 ppg., 5.6 rpg.) have been its main pillars throughout the season. Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (16-11), winner of 11 out of 12 games, wants to keep rising toward the playoffs. Its led by Jan Vesely (13.2 ppg., 5.5 rpg.), Nando De Colo (15.1 ppg., 4.1 apg.) and Marko Guduric (11.8 ppg., 3.2 apg.).

ASVEL made 46.9% of its three-point shots (54-of-115) during its six-game winning streak. It only hit 8-of-25 attempts from downtown (32%) in its Round 27 loss against Zalgiris Kaunas. That is, more three-point shots with a worse percentage. It is important for ASVEL to find balance on offense, feeding Fall and Guerschon Yabusele for one-on-one chances to open the floor for the team’s many shooters, especially William Howard (55.1% 3FG). On defense, preventing De Colo from running the show should be critical, too.

  • Derrick Walton has been sidelined for several weeks with a hip injury.
  • Antoine Diot did not play in the last two games.

Fenerbahce has been improving its shooting percentages throughout the season, and it now ranks third from downtown (40.6% 3FG) and from the free throw line (83.8%), and second inside the arc (57.0% 2FG). Being able to keep those solid shooting percentages is critical against a physical team like ASVEL. Fenerbahce had 22 assists and just 10 turnovers against AX Armani Exchange Milan in Round 27. Jan Vesely had 8 of those assists, and running its offense through its star center should be a plus again for the Turkish powerhouse.

  • Edgaras Ulanovas missed Round 27 game after being the only Fenerbahce player to start in each of the first 26.

basketball prediction Tip: Winning Margin 3-way Any Other (1-5 points) at 2.75 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

Barcelona – Baskonia

C Barcelona (19-8) leads the standings and comes off a brilliant road win against Panathinaikos OPAP Athens. Nikola Mirotic (16.6 ppg., 6.0 rpg.), Cory Higgins (12.9 ppg.) and Brandon Davies (12.1 ppg.) are leading the team so far this season. TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (14-13) is on a five-game winning streak, and each of its last four victories was by at least 20 points. Alec Peters (12.0 ppg.) is Baskonia’s top scorer, followed by Rokas Giedraitis (11.8 ppg.) and Achille Polonara (11.3 ppg.).

Barcelona is shooting the ball very well this season (55.8% 2FG, 40.6% 3FG) but leads the 2020-21 EuroLeague in turnovers (14.9 per game). Cutting those turnovers would make Barcelona even more competitive. It all starts with defense for head coach Sarunas Jasikevicius, and Barcelona allows opponents to shoot with a league-low 48.1% inside the arc and just 34.4% from downtown, while ranking second in defensive rebounds (24.1 drpg.). On defense, preventing Luca Vildoza and Pierria Henry from dominating the game tempo should be Barcelona’s main priority.

Baskonia has limited all opponents to less than 70 points in its current five-game winning streak. Those opponents combined had 85-for-187 two-point shooting (45.5%), which speaks volumes about Baskonia’s paint protection. At the same time, Baskonia has been really effective inside the arc, hitting 114 of 191 two-pointers (59.7%). If Baskonia sticks to those percentages at both ends and manages to prevent Abrines, Higgins and Kuric from dynamiting the game from the three-point line, it should have good chances to win.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.5) at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Thursday matches

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CSKA Moscow – Panathinaikos

  • CSKA holds a 21-16 advantage in the EuroLeague against Panathinaikos.

These Turkish Airlines EuroLeague superpowers meet again. CSKA Moscow (7-5) and Panathinaikos OPAP Athens (3-9) combine for 14 continental crowns. CSKA has won its last two games after losing four of its previous five. Will Clyburn (16.0 ppg.) is its top scorer, followed by Toko Shengelia (15.1 ppg.) and Johannes Voigtmann (11.4 ppg.). Panathinaikos comes off a win that stopped a five-game losing streak. Daryl Macon Jr. (16.4 ppg.), Georgios Papagiannis (8.8 ppg., 7.9 rpg.) and Ioannis Papapetrou (12.1 ppg.) are its pillars this season. This is a rematch of the 2007 and 2009 EuroLeague championship games.

basketball prediction  Tip: CSKA Under 86.5 at 1.80 with bet365

Fenerbahce – Monaco

  • This is the first official meeting between the two clubs.

Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul hosts AS Monaco on Thursday in a game between two teams coming off Round 12 heartbreakers and looking to end losing streaks. Fenerbahce (3-9) has lost four in a row, including an 84-89 decision at Anadolu Efes Istanbul last week after leading by as many as 12 in the fourth quarter. Marial Shayok scored a personal best 18 points in defeat. Monaco (5-7) has lost its last three games. On Friday, it was felled by French league foe LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne, 84-85, on a desperation three at the buzzer. Paris Lee scored a career-high 20 points in the losing effort. This game marks the first meeting between the sides.

basketball prediction  Tip: Over 156.5 at 1.86 with bet365

Zalgiris – Baskonia

  • Baskonia has a 14-10 lead in EuroLeague games against Zalgiris.

Last-placed Zalgiris Kaunas will try to move up in the standings when it hosts Bitci Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz on Thursday evening. Zalgiris (2-10) had won back-to-back games – its first victories of the season – in Rounds 9 and 10 before getting spanked by 23 points in Barcelona last week. Tau Webster had his best game since joining Zalgiris with 13 points and 4 assists in the loss. Baskonia (4-8) has lost six of its last seven games, including a 60-88 drubbing at the hands of Real Madrid last week. Simone Fontecchio showed signs of breaking out of a slump with 14 points and 7 rebounds. The game is the only time this season that Baskonia’s two Lithuanian players, Rokas Giedraitis and Tadas Sedekerskis, will get to play in their homeland.

basketball prediction  Tip: 1 (-3.5) at 1.90 with bet365

Bayern – Villeurbanne

  • The home team has won each of the four games between these two teams.

FC Bayern Munich will seek its third straight home win when it hosts feisty LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne on Thursday. Bayern (5-7) came up short 77-74 last week in Moscow despite 28 points from Darrun Hilliard, but has a winning record at home and knows how important turning Audi Dome into a fortress is for its playoff hopes. ASVEL (7-5) edged AS Monaco on a mid-court heave at the buzzer by William Howard in Round 12 to end a three-game losing streak. Coach TJ Parker’s squad is 3-2 on the road this season. This will be the fifth meeting between the sides; the home team has won the previous four by double digits each time.

basketball prediction  Tip: 2 (+7.5) at 1.86 with bet365

Real Madrid – Maccabi

  • Real leads the all-time series 38-24 and holds an 18-11 advantage in games this century.

It is the most repeated showdown in European competition. Real Madrid (10-2) and Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv (7-5) face each other for the 63rd time. Real has a 38-24 record against Maccabi and beat the Israeli champion in the 1980 EuroLeague championship game. Maccabi avenged that loss in the 2014 final. Real is on a five-game winning streak. Walter Tavares (12.6 ppg., 7.1 rpg., 1.7 bpg.), Guerschon Yabusele (12.3 ppg., 4.4 rpg.) and Vincent Poirier (7.6 ppg., 6.4 rpg.) are leading the team this season. Scottie Wilbekin (14.8 ppg.), James Nunnally (13.4 ppg.) and Ante Zizic (12.8 ppg.) are Maccabi’s top scorers.

basketball prediction  Tip: 2 (+8.5) at 1.95 with bet365

(All prices correct at 02/12/2021, 08:45 CET, subject to change)

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Friday matches

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Crvena Zvezda – Unics Kazan

  • The record between these two clubs is 1-1 from the season 2016-17.

Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade will look to assert its home-court advantage when UNICS Kazan, led by former Zvezda playmaker Lorenzo Brown, comes to the Serbian capital for a Friday night clash. Zvezda (4-7) lost twice on the road in the two-round week, but is 3-1 at home this season. UNICS (6-5) has struggled thus far on the road with just one win in five games. However, Coach Perasovic’s men have won three straight games, including an 85-71 victory over ALBA Berlin on Friday, in which Lorenzo Brown erupted for 21 points and 9 assists to earn MVP of the Round honors. The playmaker made his EuroLeague debut with Zvezda in 2019-20 and this will be his first time back in front of fans since he left.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.15 with bet365

Monaco – Villeurbanne

  • This is the first-ever official meeting between the two clubs.

The two giants of French basketball meet on Friday when AS Monaco hosts LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne. These clubs have won every French championship since 2017. Both teams are coming off tough weeks and looking to put an end to their respective slides. Monaco (5-6) has lost its last two games, both times by double-digit margins. However, those games were on the road – in Tel Aviv and Istanbul. Monaco is 4-1 at home this season. ASVEL (6-5) has lost three in a row, including two home games last week by double-digit margins. ASVEL is 2-2 on the road so far this season. This will be the teams’ first meeting on the continental stage since the 1975 Korac Cup.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365

Milano – Olympiacos

  • Olympiacos leads 14-7 in games between these sides this century.

AX Armani Exchange Milan will put its perfect home record on the line on Friday against Olympiacos Piraeus, which is winless on the road thus far. Milan (8-3) comes off a tough two-round week in which it lost twice in Russia to fall out of a share of first place. However, it will be comfortable back at Mediolanum Forum, where the team is 6-0 this season – including wins over all three of last season’s other Final Four teams. Olympiacos (7-4) split its games last week, faltering late at Anadolu Efes Istanbul before jumping on Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv early to win at home. The Reds are 0-4 on the road so far this season. These teams have split their last eight meetings and the home team has won the last four.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+5.0) at 1.90 with bet365

Barcelona – Zalgiris

  • Barcelona has dominated this series, holding a 24-5 lead this century, including 5 straight wins in the last games.

Two teams from opposite ends of the standings meet when FC Barcelona hosts Zalgiris Kaunas on Friday. The game will see Coach Sarunas Jasikevicius and players Brandon Davies, Nigel Hayes-Davis and Rokas Jokubaitis face their former team. Barcelona has won three games in a row and is tied for first place with a 9-2 record. Zalgiris is tied for last at 2-9, but won twice last week, besting Panathinaikos OPAP Athens and Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul at home. That said, the Lithuanian champs are winless on the road in six tries this season – and have lost 12 straight road games dating back to last season. Barcelona is 5-0 at home this season and has won the last meetings with Zalgiris.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+12.5)) at 2.05 with bet365

(All prices correct at 26/11/2021, 10:10 CET, subject to change)

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Thursday matches

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CSKA Moscow – Bayern

  • Bayern has won only one of eight games against CSKA this century, but it was their last meeting in Moscow.

Two teams in the middle of the pack will clash in Round 12’s first game when CSKA Moscow hosts FC Bayern Munich. CSKA (6-5) split its games in the two-round week, finishing it with a 74-80 road win at Bitci Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz in which Johannes Voigtmann and Will Clyburn scored 16 points apiece. Bayern (5-6) won both games last week at home; it bested Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul by 8 points behind 22 points from Vladimir Lucic and then beat Panathinaikos OPAP Athens by 3 with Darrun Hilliard scoring 20. The game will mark Hilliard’s first trip back to Moscow after spending the past two seasons with CSKA. Bayern center Othello Hunter also played two seasons for CSKA in the past and helped the team win the EuroLeague in 2019.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 155.5 at 1.90 with bet365

Fenerbahce – Anadolu Efes

  • The road team has won the last three games in the Istanbul derby. Fenerbahce is 11-5 up in the Euroleague.

The first Istanbul derby of the 2021-22 Turkish Airlines EuroLeague season will take place on Thursday when Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul hosts Anadolu Efes Istanbul. The game catches the two teams in opposite runs of form. While Fenerbahce (3-8) has lost three straight games, Efes (5-6) has reeled off three successive wins. Fenerbahce comes off an 86-75 loss at Zalgiris Kaunas in which Nando De Colo scored 17 points and dished 5 assists. Efes trounced AS Monaco 98-77 on Friday behind 17 points and a career-high 7 assists from Rodrigue Beaubois. The two teams last met in the Turkish League last month when Fenerbahce routed Efes 90-68 at home behind 17 points from Devin Booker. Their last three EuroLeague clashes have gone the way of the visitors, with Efes winning two of those.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-3.5) at 1.86 with bet365

Panathinaikos – Zenit

  • Zenit swept Panathinaikos last season. Panathinaikos did the same a year before that.

Panathinaikos OPAP Athens looks to end a five-game slide when it hosts red-hot Zenit St Petersburg, which has won five in a row. Panathinaikos (2-9) came up short in Germany on Thursday against FC Bayern Munich despite 12 points and 6 assists from Daryl Macon Jr., who has been the Greens’ most dangerous offensive weapon this season. Zenit (8-3) outlasted AX Armani Exchange Milan in Round 11 behind 17 points from Jordan Mickey. Zenit head coach Xavi Pascual returns to the Greek capital, where he spent parts of three seasons as Panathinaikos coach between 2016 and 2018. Last season under Pascual, Zenit defeated Panathinaikos twice by an average margin of victory of 20.5 points.

basketball prediction Tip: Panathinaikos Over 73.5 at 1.83 with bet365

ALBA Berlin – Maccabi

  • Maccabi has a 13-1 record in games against ALBA this century.

ALBA Berlin will look to snap a three-game losing streak when the German champs host Israeli champion Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv. ALBA (3-8) is 1-4 at home this season and lost its most recent home game by 27 points to Anadolu Efes Istanbul in Round 9. Maccabi (7-4) had won five in a row before dropping two of its last three. Both of those losses came on the road, where Maccabi is 2-3 this season. Maccabi comes off its worst loss of the season, a 17-point defeat at the hands of Olympiacos Piraeus. ALBA boasts two players who know Maccabi well; swingman Yovel Zoosman spent the past four seasons with the club and point guard Tamir Blatt, whose father David coached Maccabi to the 2014 EuroLeague title, spent the last three seasons with Maccabi’s archrival Hapoel Jerusalem.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.5) at 1.90 with bet365

Baskonia – Real Madrid

  • Baskonia holds a 7-5 edge over Real in their head-to-head EuroLeague games.

Bitci Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz comes off an eventful week and will now host Spanish League foe Real Madrid in its third straight home game. Baskonia (4-7) made a coaching change last week and it resulted in a Round 10 victory over Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade before it suffered a narrow loss to CSKA Moscow in Round 11. With more time to introduce plans from Coach Never Spahija, Baskonia should be looking more dangerous from game to game. Real (9-2) has won four games in a row and is now tied for first place. Last week Los Blancos bested LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne in France before topping Zvezda at home. These teams met most recently at the end of October in the Spanish League and Real strolled to a 65-83 road win courtesy of Vincent Poirier’s double-double. The same Poirier spent two seasons in Vitoria-Gasteiz and was a member of the All-EuroLeague Team in 2018-19 as a Baskonia player.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365

(All prices correct at 25/11/2021, 10:35 CET, subject to change)

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