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PREVIEWS

Euroleague Preview – Round 26 – Every point counts

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Euroleague Preview & Tips

Every win counts. Every point too. Playoff places, play-off advantage and avoiding elimination are the prizes on offer in the action-packed Round 26. The EuroLeague Regular Season is 5 games to the end and while the Euroleague’s official site calls as Game of the Week the visit of Baskonia, but the 15 times European champions Panathinaikos (6) and Real Madrid (9) might write the headlines.

Thursday’s matches

The action starts in Istanbul, where Anadolu Efes (13-12) will look to protect its position in the top half of the standings against a Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (9-16) team that has lost seven straight on the road and would be eliminated with another defeat. In a game between two teams with plenty of firepower, turnovers could be key: Maccabi is the third-worst team at taking care of the ball, with an assist-turnover ratio of 119.3%, while Efes is second-best in that category with a ratio of 163%. This could be an Over 168.0 points at the price of 1.90 with bet365.

A meeting of traditional heavyweights gives Real Madrid (19-6) the chance to secure home-court advantage in the playoffs with a road trip to Panathinaikos Superfoods Athens (14-11), which has won eight consecutive games at home. It’s a meeting between the EuroLeague’s second-best defense and second-best offense, with Panathinaikos allowing just 73.9 points per game while Madrid has scored 87.2 on average. Expect plenty of long-range strikes; with Madrid’s average of 10 three-pointers per game and Panathinaikos’s 9.5, they rank first and second in triples converted. Panathinaikos has only lost one at home this season and play for their future in the competition. A home win with a handicap of -1.5 point is priced at 1.90 with bet365.

There’s everything to play for in Germany, with host Brose Bamberg (9-16) potentially facing elimination with a loss while visiting Fenerbahce Istanbul (16-9) might qualify for the playoffs with a win. Accurate shooting is the order of the day for these two teams, with Bamberg ranked second in the league in true shooting percentage (51%), while Fenerbahce is fifth (49.4%). Partly for that reason, they are also among the league’s lowest offensive rebounders, with Bamberg ranked last (7.2 per game) and Fenerbahce 14th (8.9 per game), so what few second chances arise could be crucial. I’ll stay out of this one but I think it will be close.

Thursday’s final game sees eliminated EA7 Emporio Armani Milan (7-18) attempt to end a four-game losing streak against visiting Crvena Zvezda MTS Belgrade (14-11), which needs to keep its playoff hopes on track. Milan has allowed more points than any other team (87.8 per game), but Zvezda is the competition’s second-lowest scorer with an average of 74.7 points. The two teams are the league’s worst at defensive rebounding, with only Milan’s average of 22.1 defensive boards lower than Zvezda’s 22.2 per game. They also block fewer shots than anyone else; Milan 1.5 blocks per game and Zvezda 1.6. Another Over selection here, with the 159.0 points looking a descent scoring obstacle and is offerd at 1.90 with bet365.

Friday’s matches

Friday tips off with already-eliminated Unics Kazan (7-18) looking for its first win for more than two months against playoff aspirants Zalgiris Kaunas (11-14). Unics can look to exploit the visiting team’s tendency to concede possession, with only three teams committing more turnovers than Zalgiris’s average of 14.2 per game. The Lithuanian team, on the other hand, is the third-best offensive rebounding unit in the competition, averaging 11.3 per game.

In Istanbul, Darussafaka Dogus (12-13) will seek to strengthen its playoff challenge against a FC Barcelona Lassa team which is still hoping to force its way into the picture (10-15). Darussafaka has won six of its last seven home games, while Barcelona has only celebrated one road triumph in its last nine attempts. The home team’s approach is evident in two stats: Darussafaka has attempted the third highest number of three-pointers (24 per game) but ranks last in assists (14.5 per game). Barcelona remains the league’s lowest scorer, averaging just 72.3 points.

Already-qualified Olympiacos Piraeus (18-7) will know before tipoff whether victory will be enough to secure home-court advantage in the playoffs against eliminated Galatasaray Odeabank Istanbul (8-17). The Turkish team triumphed in a thriller when the teams met in Round 6, its 89 points that night being the third-most that any team has scored against Olympiacos all season. The Reds have a clear edge in rebounding, ranked first in the league with 37.2 boards per game, while Galatasaray has averaged just 31.8. These are the competition’s best two shot-blocking teams, both averaging 3.7 per game.

Last but not least, Baskonia Vitoria Gasteiz (14-11) will attempt to take another step towards the playoffs by overcoming reigning champion CSKA Moscow (19-6), which would grab home-court advantage in the playoffs with a win. One clear disparity between the teams is long-range shooting efficiency, with CSKA leading the league with a 40.7% conversion rate, while Baskonia has made just 34.4% of three-point attempts. But the Spanish team has a rebounding advantage, averaging 36.8 per game compared to CSKA’s 32.9.

Source: euroleague.net

Basketball Tips: livetipster.com

Daily Basketball Picks

DateLeagueEventPickOddsBet+/-Type
18/08/2022INT.France - BelgiumOver 156.51.9010Pre
17/08/2022INT.Greece - PolandOver 158.51.9010+9Pre
16/08/2022INT.Spain - Lithuania22.1010+11Pre
11/08/2022INT.Spain - Greece1 (+3.5)1.8350+41.50Pre
10/08/2022WNBADAL Wings - NY Liberty1 (-5.0)1.9020-20Pre
09/08/2022WNBALV Aces - ATL DreamUnder 168.51.9010-10Pre
08/08/2022WNBADAL Wings - NY Liberty1 (-4.0)1.9010+9Pre
07/08/2022WNBACHI Sky - CON SunOver 166.51.9020+18Pre
06/08/2022WNBAPHX Mercury - NY Liberty21.9010-10Pre
05/08/2022WNBAATL Dream - LA Sparks2 (+4.5)1.90100+90Pre
03/08/2022WNBANY Liberty - LA Sparks1 (-6.0)1.9050-50Pre
31/07/2022WNBACON Sun - CHI SkyOver 165.51.90200+180Pre
30/07/2022WNBAATL Dream - DAL Wings11.90100-100Pre
29/07/2022WNBACHI Sky - NY LibertyOver 163.51.901000+900Pre
28/07/2022WNBAATL Dream - MIN Lynx1 (-1.5)1.90500-500Pre
24/07/2022WNBAIND Fever - DAL Wings2 (-6.0)1.901000+900Pre
23/07/2022WNBANY Liberty - CHI SkyOver 163.01.901000-Pre
22/07/2022WNBACHI Sky - DAL WingsOver 168.01.903000+2700Pre
21/07/2022WNBALA Sparks - ATL DreamUnder 160.51.901500-1500Pre
20/07/2022WNBACHI Sky - SEA Storm1 (-3.0)1.905000+4500Pre
17/07/2022WNBACON Sun - LV AcesOver 174.51.903000-3000Pre
15/07/2022WNBAIND Fever - MIN Lynx2 (-3.0)1.904000+3600Pre
14/07/2022WNBANY Liberty - LV AcesOver 172.51.905000+4500Pre
13/07/2022WNBAIND Fever - CON SunOver 163.01.9010000+9000Pre
12/07/2022WNBASEA Storm - DAL Wings2 (+8.5)1.907500-7500Pre
07/07/2022WNBALA Sparks - SEA StormOver 161.51.958000+7600Pre
06/07/2022WNBAATL Dream - WAS Mystics2 (-5.5)1.909000+8100Pre
04/07/2022WC - QNetherlands - Italy2 (-6.5)1.9010000+9000Pre
02/07/2022WNBACHI Sky - PXH Mercury2 (+9.0)1.9010000-10000Pre
01/07/2022WNBALA Sparks - DAL WingsUnder 165.51.905000-5000Pre

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

Follow me or follow your instinct. Play responsibly. Betting should be fun.

PREVIEWS

Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction, Injuries, Suspensions and Possible Line-ups

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Champions League tips tpday

Liverpool vs Real Madrid play in the Champions League final.

Who’s likely to start, who might be left out, and who is unavailable? We have brought together all the information available, so check out our Champions League final predictions today.

Saturday, 28/05/2022

  • Stade de France (80,698), Paris
  • Referee: Clement Turpin (France)
  • Real have won 13 Champions League titles (including the European Champions Cup) in 16 appearances in the final.
  • Liverpool have 6 Champions League titles (including the European Champions Cup) in 9 appearances in the final.

Road to the final

Liverpool wrapped up their on paper “tough group” (Atletico, Porto, AC Milan) with 6/6 wins. They then eliminated Inter, Benfica and Villarreal successively, winning on all 3 occasions and scoring 2+ goals on the road, while at home they only won against the Spaniards, drew with the Portuguese and were beaten by the Italians (0-2) in their only defeat in the competition this season.

Real Madrid cruised through the group stage (Inter, Sheriff, Shakhtar) with a 5-0-1 record. Their only loss was a shocking 1-2 defeat to Sheriff in Madrid. But Ancelotti’s team eliminated three championship contenders in… epic fashion. Against Paris Saint-Germain, they needed Benzema’s hat-trick in Madrid (3-1). The Frenchman scored 3 more goals in London against Chelsea (1-3) before his team beat the English side in extra time in the second leg. This was followed by two incredible games against Manchester City, losing 4-3 away, but scoring two goals after the 90 minutes in the replay and winning in extra time (3-1).

Liverpool vs Real Madrid possible line-ups

Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Keïta; Salah, Mané, Luis Díaz

Real Madrid: Courtois; Carvajal, Éder Militão, Alaba, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Modrić; Valverde, Benzema, Vinícius Júnior

Liverpool vs Real Madrid prediction

The odds don’t show how tightly contested the final can be, with Liverpool given as favourites by all bookmakers, but Real are the side that has linked their name with European success. Liverpool may be more tired from their unsuccessful battle to win the Premier League, and in two finals this season they have drawn 0-0 with Chelsea and won the titles on penalties.

On the other hand, Real have had a chance to refuel over the last month and are expected to be fresh, so they offset the disadvantage of the Reds’ greater physicality.

Whew… tough to predict. But we’ll go with the “2-3 goals