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Euroleague Top 16 Preview – Round 10

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Euroleague Preview & Tips

As the playoffs race enters the final stretch, the stage is set in Top 16 Round 10 for up to two teams, one in each group, to become the first ones to advance to the next phase. The drama is split evenly with two games in each group on both Thursday in Friday. One playoff team, either Fenerbahce Istanbul or Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar, may come from the very first game on Thursday, while another, CSKA Moscow, from the very last one on Friday. Only Fenerbahce does not depend on other results to qualify with a victory, though.

Teams in red – Playing Thursday
Teams in green – Playing Friday

Group E

In the Round 10 opener, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar (7-2) hosts Fenerbahce Istanbul (8-1) in a battle for first place in Group E. Fenerbahce qualifies for the playoffs with a victory, and Lokomotiv qualifies if it wins and a day later Anadolu Efes Istanbul beats Darussafaka Dogus Istanbul. Fenerbahce rallied late to beat Lokomotiv 85-79 in their Top 16 Round 3 game, and that six-point margin could play a big role when teams meet again on Thursday. Fenerbahce arrives to Krasnodar with the best record in the Top 16. Its offense that ranks second in three-point accurcay (41.9%) and fourth in scoring (83), while its defense is first in blocks (5.6) and holds opponents to the second-lowest two-point accuracy, 47.8% . Lokomotiv has won four games in a row and has the Top 16’s best defense, allowing just 70 points on average, a number that dips to 66.3 for home games. Lokomotiv’s defense also forces the most turnovers (15.4), while its offense attempts (28.9 per game) and makes makes (11.1) the most three-point shots in this phase.

In the other Thursday game in Group E, one losing streak will come to an end when Cedevita Zagreb (2-7) welcomes Unicaja Malaga (2-7) to the Croatian capital. Cedevita has lost five games in a row and Unicaja six. Unicaja has 3-0 all-time record against Cedevita, which is only 2-7 on its home floor at Drazen Petrovic Zagreb arena this season. The hosts hope to get their offense going against Unicaja, which allows opponents to hit 43.6% of their three-point attempts, highest in Top 16, but is also ranked first in offensive rebounding with 14 per game.

On Friday, in a city-derby of two teams hoping to stay in playoff contention, Darussafaka Dogus Istanbul (3-6) plays host to Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-6). Darussafaka enters the game on a two-game winning streak, while Efes has dropped four in a row and five of six games since downing Darussafaka 84-71 in Round 3 of this group. Efes also won the Turkish League meeting between them in January 76-80 on the road. Through this entire season, Efes ranks second in three-point shooting (40.9%) and third in assists (19.7). Efes is also third in scoring (82.5), but that number dipped to 73.5 during the current losing streak. Defense has been key for Darussafaka  in winning three of its last four games: in those wins, it has allowed just 66 points per game.

In a clash of two teams looking for victory that would significantly improve their playoff chances, Crvena Zvezda Telekom Belgrade (5-4) welcomes Panathinaikos Athens (6-3) to the Serbian capital on Friday. Zvezda used three different arenas this season to play home games, and now it’s back to Pionir, where it has a 7-1 record this season. Zvezda’s perimeter defense lets opponents make just 7 triples per game on 31% accuracy, both of which are the second-best in the Top 16. Panathinaikos only makes 33.7% of its three-point tries. Zvezda beat the Greens in Athens 63-74, but Panathinaikos has now won five in a row, and its defense has climbed all the way to second best, allowing just 71.6 points per game in the Top 16.

Group F

In a pivotal game for both teams, second-place Laboral Kutxa Vitoria Gasteiz (6-3) hopes to get back to the winning ways when third-place Khimki Moscow Region (5-4) pays a visit for the Game of the Week on Thursday. Laboral concedes the third-fewest points, 72.7 per game, and hold opponents to 28.9% three-point shooting, the best in Top 16. The hosts’ will pit that defense against a Khimki offense that ranks first in assists (20.9) and third in scoring (84.2) at this stage. But Khimki is winless on the road in the Top 16, where it gives up 11.3 triples per game on 45.9% accuracy.

Also Thursday, Brose Baskets Bamberg (3-6) hosts Olympiacos Piraeus (4-5) for the second time ever and first time since 2010. Bamberg is 2-1 all-time against the Reds, including 72-77 victory in Piraeus in Top 16 Round 3. On its home floor in Top 16, Bamberg makes an astounding league-highest 49.3% of its three-point shots, making a second-best 11 per game. Bamberg does well protecting its paint by allowing opponents a league-low 8.4 offensive rebounds per night: however, Bamberg is the Top 16’s worst team rebounding its own misses, with mere 5.7 offensive rebounds per game. After winning five road games in a row earlier in the season, Olympiacos has now lost four straight away from Piraeus by an average margin of 13.8 points. In its victory last week over Laboral Kutxa, the Reds matched their season-high with 23 assists.

In a classic showdown on Friday, Zalgiris Kaunas (2-7) hosts Real Madrid (5-4). This is fourth consecutive year two teams play each other in the Top 16. Madrid holds a 15-6 all-time record against Zalgiris, 10-1 since 2013. The Lithuanian powerhouse comes into this match second in offensive rebounding (12.3) in the Top 16, but is ranked low in field goal accuracy: last at 44.4% for two-pointers and a third-from-the-bottom 32.2% on three-pointers. Madrid, on the other hand, ranks second in scoring (84.8), third in assists (20.2) and three-pointers made (9.7).

In a mouthwatering matchup for the last game of the round, FC Barcelona Lassa (4-5) faces a must-win situation hosting group leader CSKA Moscow (7-2), which will know going to tipoff whether it can qualify with a victory. That will be the case if Laboral and either Zalgiris or Olympiacos have already won their games. During the past decade, these two teams have faced each other five times at Final Fours. This is the fifth time during that span that CSKA visits Barcelona with the teams holding identical 2-2 records in the previous four games. CSKA leads the Top 16 in scoring (92.1) and ranks second in assists (20.3). No team shoots better three-pointers than CSKA (44.5%), and its 10.8 triples per game rank second in Top 16. Barcelona ranks in the top four with 39.1 % three-point shooting and on its home floor in Top 16 ranks fourth in scoring (84.8), third in two-point accuracy (56.9%) and third in assists (19.3), too.

Source: euroleague.net

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Thursday matches

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Euroleague Basketball Predictions

The action in the Euroleague continues. We have now completed the first third of the regular season and we can predict with more confidence on european basketball matches today. So, let’s dive straight into our Euroleague picks for today’s games:

Our EuroLeague basketball tips appear under each mini game preview.

Panathinaikos – Milan

On Thursday at OAKA stadium in Athens, Panathinaikos (5-6) hosts Milan (3-8), two teams with recent trends in opposition, square off. Four of the Greens’ previous five games have ended in victories, including three straight at home. Milan has lost seven straight games mainly due to injuries, tying its worst losing streak in the EuroLeague this century.

Panathinaikos’ recent victories saw them allow 67 and 58 points, which are season highs for the team’s defence under head coach Dejan Radonjic. In each of those contests, five or more shooters connected on three-pointers, enabling the Greens move up to seventh place (38.0%) in three-point shooting efficiency. The big guns for Panathinaikos are Dwayne Bacon (18.5 ppg) and Derrick Williams (15.7), and if either player is at their best, this club can compete on the hishest level. Watch out if they are both.

The inability to rebound has been a problem for both sides. No team has outrebounded opponents less times than Panathinaikos (38.1 rpg.). Milan is the next team in that category with 37.5 rpg., but has only done it once in 11 games. Both sides have done a good job of guarding their own boards, but they have not contributed much on offence. Because of this, Panathinaikos and Milan have both allowed  more offensive rebounds than they have managed to grab on their own offensive glass. We chose a high-scoring game here with that in mind.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 152.5 at 2.00

Alba Berlin – Fenerbahce

In an intriguing matchup in the German capital, Fenerbahce (9-2) faces off against ALBA Berlin (3-8). ALBA has lost its last eight games after a 3-0 start. Fenerbahce remains in first place after last week’s home loss to Real Madrid. The last two times ALBA has visited Berlin, it has defeated Fenerbahce.

ALBA lifts its offensive by relying on its passing game. With 21.5 assists per game, Israel Gonzalez’s squad leads the EuroLeague. This year, Luke Sikma has averaged 6.4 assists per game as ALBA’s primary offensive conduit. To increase their chances of winning this game, the German champions must involve their numerous shooters, particularly Maodo Lo and Gabriele Procida. ALBA must stop Calathes and Hazer from controlling the game’s tempo on defence.

It will be difficult for Alba to win, but the handicap might not be covered.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (+3.5) at 1.90

Maccabi – Valencia

Maccabi hosts Valencia in a matchup of two teams that are on the outside looking toward the playoff zone. Despite losing two straight games, Maccabi (5-6) has been one of the best teams at home this season, going 5-1 when playing at Menorah Mivtachim Arena. Valencia (5-6) just defeated Partizan in overtime and has a 3-2 winning road record this year.

Maccabi’s go-to player Lorenzo Brown (18.1 ppg, 6.5 apg) might have more support this week as Baldwin (15.6 ppg) and Hilliard are anticipated to return after missing Friday’s setback in Munich. Adams made a commendable transition, setting a personal best with 21 points in his debut EuroLeague game, and may be entitled to a bigger role moving ahead.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+5.5) at 1.90

Partizan – Crvena Zvezda

In front of a sold-out crowd of 16,745 spectators at Stark Arena in the Serbian capital, Belgrade, Partizan (4-7) plays Crvena Zvezda (5-6) in one of the fiercest cross-town rivalries in sports.

Partizan enters the game in need of a victory after suffering back-to-back losses in which it scored at least 96 points but allowed more than 100 to its opponents, giving it the league’s worst defence (88.1 oppg.). Although Partizan attempts fewer long-range shots than 15 other teams, they are aggressive enough to rank second in both free throw success (16.9) and accuracy at the foul line (84.2%), where they are first in three-point efficiency (39.8%). Punter (15.9 ppg), Nunnally (11.2) and Exum (11.2) will likely handle the ball inside, followed by Lessort (12.7) and LeDay (13.9) on the outside. However, what they all do defensively may have a greater impact.

basketball prediction Tip: Partizan Over 83.5 at 1.83

Real Madrid – Monaco

Real Madrid (8-3) and Monaco (8-3) will face off against one another at the WiZink Center. Real is on a six-game winning streak following its lone home loss to Virtus Bologna in Round 5. After losing four straight meetings, the most recent coming at home in double OT, 84-90, last season, Monaco has won its previous two contests and is prepared to battle for its first-ever win over Los Blancos.

Real is crucial to getting the ball moving in transition since it leads the league in defensive rebounding (26.7 drpg.) and is second in blocked shots (4.0 bpg.). Connecting with Tavares and Poirier should be crucial in this game because Real ranks third in two-point shooting (58.5% 2FG) and has a size advantage in the paint at the “5” position. Abalde, Williams-Goos, and Hanga should all be utilised while playing a high-scoring club in order to halt Mike James.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 163.5 at 1.88

(All prices correct at 07/12/2022, 19:00 CET, subject to change)

News Source: Euroleague.net

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Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore

Disclaimer: This is not investment or gambling advice. Always conduct your own independent research.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Friday matches

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Euroleague Basketball Predictions

The action in the Euroleague continues. We have almost completed the first third of the regular season and we can predict with more confidence on european basketball matches today. So, let’s dive straight into our Euroleague picks for today’s games:

Our EuroLeague basketball tips appear under each mini game preview.

Cvena Zvezda – Virtus Bologna

Friday night’s early tipoff at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall features a matchup between Crvena Zvezda (4-6) and Virtus Bologna (4-6), both of which are in same wins but different states of form.

Zvezda has won its previous three EuroLeague games after hiring Dusko Ivanovic as their head coach, defeating ASVEL Villeurbanne, ALBA Berlin, and Maccabi. Both point guard Vildoza and fellow guard Nedovic, who previously played for Coach Ivanovic at Baskonia, have begun to have a bigger influence. Curiously, only two players reached double digits in points in the victory over Maccabi: Nedovic had 12 and Martin had 11. Zvezda will probably have to work hard for every point it scores when facing a strong defence like Virtus, which has the fourth-best ranking in the EuroLeague on this end of the floor.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.15

Fenerbahce – Real Madrid

Both teams are in good shape going into their matchup at Ulker Sports and Event Hall: Fenerbahce (9-1) has just lost one game all season while Real Madrid (7-3) has won five consecutive.

Fenerbahce made a number of roster adjustments during the offseason, including the hiring of Dimitris Itoudis as the new head coach, and ever since, the team has been on fire. In addition to having the greatest record in the EuroLeague this season, Fenerbahce also has the second-highest ratings on attack and defence. Injury has kept Pierre out of the previous two games for Fenerbahce, but Hayes-Davis has filled in admirably. In two contests, Hayes-Davis actually led the club in scoring with 21 points against Monaco and 22 points at EA7 Milan. Due to an injury, Wilbekin will miss the Real Madrid game, but Los Blancos have already seen how much trouble they can cause when Hayes-Davis, Calathes, Motley, and Guduric are on the field.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+1.5) at 1.95

Zalgiris – Panathinaikos

At Zalgirio Arena, Zalgiris (6-4) will play host to Panathinaikos (4-6), who has a 4-6 record and is coming off back-to-back victories in the EuroLeague double-round week.

Zalgiris is now 4-0 this season overall at Zalgirio Arena and has won four of its previous five games. Zalgiris are a very dangerous possibility in this year’s EuroLeague thanks to the never-say-die spirit that first-year head coach Maksvytis has fostered in his players. Evans, Smits, and club captain Ulanovas, who have all contributed significantly over the past few games, will be motivated to keep Zalgiris’s home winning streak intact when Panathinaikos visits.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 160.5 at 1.90

Bayern Munich – Maccabi

When it hosts Maccabi, Bayern Munich will try to get back on track. Before losing by one point in Monaco last week, Bayern (3-7) had won three of its previous four games. After losing in a thrilling match to Crvena Zvezda on Thursday in Belgrade, Maccabi (5-5) is still looking for its first road victory of the year. Additionally, Maccabi’s most recent victory in Munich was in March 2019.

Two former Bayern stars will travel back to Munich for the game. In 2021, Baldwin helped Bayern to within one shot of the Final Four, and Hilliard led Bayern in scoring last season with 13.7 points per game. Together, they and Lorenzo Brown form a lethal Maccabi backcourt. Baldwin (15.6 ppg, 4.5 apg) ranks second on the squad in both categories, while Brown (16.3 ppg) leads Maccabi in both. Brown is also tied for third in the league in assists (6.4 apg).

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.25

(All prices correct at 02/12/2022, 09:00 CET, subject to change)

News Source: Euroleague.net

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Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore

Disclaimer: This is not investment or gambling advice. Always conduct your own independent research.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Thursday matches

Published

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Euroleague Basketball Predictions

The action in the Euroleague continues. We have almost completed the first third of the regular season and we can predict with more confidence on european basketball matches today. So, let’s dive straight into our Euroleague picks for today’s games:

Our EuroLeague basketball tips appear under each mini game preview.

Alba Berlin – Barcelona

On Thursday night, Round 11 will feature a matchup between two teams at different ends of the spectrum as ALBA Berlin (3-7) hosts Barcelona (7-3). The 13th meeting between these two clubs in the EuroLeague this century will take place, with Barca winning 11 of the previous 12. Despite Jaleen Smith’s 12 points, 6 rebounds, and 3 assists in a Round 10 loss to Olympiacos, ALBA has lost seven straight games since going 3-0 to open the season. With Jan Vesely scoring 18 points, Barcelona has won five of its previous six games, including its most recent victory over Baskonia, 96-84.

Few people would disagree that the reality is what it appears to be on paper. With the exception of turnovers and shooting percentages across the board, ALBA outperforms Barcelona in all significant statistical categories. Although they continue to lead the league in total rebounds (37.2) and assists (22.0), the hosts’ recent success has not been reflected in victories. The third-best league defence will force ALBA to put their offensive fireworks to the test. ALBA will also need to play tight on defence and work to reduce the 81.9 points it gives up per game. In order to try and end ALBA’s losing streak, players like Blatt, Olinde, and Sikma will have to stand up and help Smith in seizing the reins.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 160.5 at 1.90

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

At Sinan Erdem Sports Hall, Anadolu Efes (5-5) takes on Olympiacos (7-3) in a highly anticipated matchup. For the first time since the EuroLeague semifinals of last year, the teams square off. In that match, Vasilije Micic’s buzzer-beating three-pointer helped Efes defeat Olympiacos 74-77. Efes ultimately won the EuroLeague championship. Kostas Sloukas’ game-winning shot helped Olympiacos defeat Efes 87-85 in overtime earlier in the 2021–22 campaign. Expect a fantastic game with all the big characters still on their respective teams.

Efes is now on a three-game winning streak and may be in its finest shape of the year. Micic (18.2 ppg, 6.4 apg, 21.7) and Clyburn (20.4 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 22.3 PIR) have been the team’s leaders thus far this season, respectively placing first and second in terms of minutes played per game. In recent games, Efes has displayed a more diversified approach: Pleiss scored 13 points against EA7 Milan in Round 9, and Beaubois scored 19 points and had a PIR of 30 against Virtus Bologna in Round 10. With only 14.7 assists per night, Efes is tied for 15th in the league, thus there is room for growth during the season.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-4.5) at 1.95

Asvel Villeurbanne – Monaco

The Astroaballe will host the rematch between ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-7) and Monaco, two very familiar teams (7-3). Last season, these groups exchanged wins on the road in the EuroLeague. After Monaco defeated ASVEL 75-100 shortly after, ASVEL narrowly defeated Monaco 84-85 on a long buzzer-beating triple by Howard. Both teams advanced to the French League finals, when ASVEL defeated Monaco with a score of 3-2 after a tense playoff series.

Currently on a five-game losing streak in the EuroLeague, ASVEL is having trouble. Its primary pillars up until this point have been De Colo (12.3 ppg., 53.1% 3FG, 3.7 apg., 14.0 PIR), Mathews (10.8 ppg.), and Fall (10.5 ppg., 65.1% 2FG, 7.6 rpg., 14.4 PIR). Since ASVEL has only shot two points at 45.4% of its last five games, attacking the rim for simple baskets should be a priority for ASVEL when facing a run-and-gun team.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 157.5 at 1.87

Baskonia – Milano

Baskonia (5-5) welcomes EA7 Milan (7-3) in what should be an intriguing tactical matchup. Despite the fact that their initial encounter took place in 2009, this is their 22nd rendezvous. With a record of 11-10 against Baskonia, Milan won both of their meetings last year: 64-78 at Buesa Arena and 89-78 at Mediolanum Forum. Be prepared for a fierce basketball match.

Baskonia recently suffered a road setback to Barcelona but has played well at home this year, going 4-1 with Olympiacos Piraeus being the lone defeat. The home team leader in scoring (99.2 ppg) and PIR (113.2) is Baskonia, who also shoots the ball well (62.7% 2FG, 44.2% 2FG) and averages about 10 more points per game than any other team. Few teams can win at Buesa Arena if Baskonia maintains its regular home game numbers and plays at full throttle.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.90

Partizan – Valencia

When Partizan (4-6) hosts Valencia, there will be a match between two teams with the same record (4-6). LeDay put up a performance of 20 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists, but Partizan’s trip to Spain last week ended in a defeat to Real Madrid. Although Valencia lost to Zalgiris at home, 76-80, despite Chris Jones’ 19 points and 7 assists, they also lost to Real previous week. Partizan and Valencia will be playing one other for the first time ever in the EuroLeague.

Partizan will use this as one of its main weapons against Valencia because it leads the league in three-point shooting accuracy at 41.1%. To increase their average of 14.7 assists, the hosts must watch the visitors’ aggressive defence (7.1 spg.) and work to improve ball circulation. Valencia ranks bottom in average blocks (1.3), thus there may be a chance for the hosts to earn their fifth victory in the paint.

basketball prediction Tip: Partizan Over 85.5 at 1.83

(All prices correct at 01/12/2022, 09:00 CET, subject to change)

News Source: Euroleague.net

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Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore

Disclaimer: This is not investment or gambling advice. Always conduct your own independent research.

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