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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 5 – 29/10/2019

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Khimki – Panathinaikos

Khimki (3-1) aims for its third home win in as many tries and separation from a close and dangerous pursuer, Panathinaikos (2-2), whose two defeats have come by a single point each. Tuesday’s winner also gets to break a 4-4 historical tie between these teams in its favor. All of their games have been played over the last decade — exactly.

Khimki can always fill the basket, so defense is its main route to victory. Panathinaikos gets well over half its 83 points per game from Calathes, Deshaun Thomas and Jimmer Fredette, while leading the league in two-pointers made. Forcing the Greens to shoot from deep and go to the free throw line is a lot better than letting Calathes run loose and find teammates near the basket, although Jeremy Evans and friends have Khimki ranked third with 4 blocks per game.

Conversely, it behooves Panathinaikos to play up-tempo, not only to create fastbreaks that the Greens finish well, but because Khimki is prone to turnovers, and the difference between protecting the ball or not could tilt a close game in the visitors’ favor. Khimki has great balance between Shved, wing scorer Janis Timma and inside force Devin Booker. Panathinaikos will need to be conscious of helping constantly on defense without getting out of position, a tough assignment on the road.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+6.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 29/10/2019, 09:45 CET, could have changed)

Anadolu Efes – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams trending in different directions face off at the Sinan Erdem Dome. Efes (3-1) shook off an opening-round home loss to win its last three. Zvezda (1-3) has changed coaches already and seeks its first road win after two losses away. It would also be its first road win against Efes, which has a 4-2 record against Zvezda since their first meeting nearly four years ago and has won all three of the games between them in Istanbul.

The outside-inside prowess of Efes on the offensive end of the floor especially marks a difference of more than 10 points per game (82-3 to 71.0) between the hosts and Zvezda, the next-to-last scoring team in the competition. It would follow that Efes can simply outgun Zvezda behind Micic (16.0 ppg.), Shane Larking (16.0), Bryant Dunston (13.0), Alec Peters (11.3) and Kruno Simon, who averages 18 over the last two games. With Dunston and Tibor Pleiss patrolling inside on defense, where Zvezda struggles to score, the cards for this game are very much in the hands of the hosts.

Zvezda’s struggles boil down to serious difficulties in making passes into points. Turning the ball over more than any EuroLeague team (16.8 per game to Efes’s 9.3) is one major concern. So is converting opportunities near the basket, where the visitors make a league-low 44.0%. All those numbers need to improve to win on the road. Zvezda shoots better from distance than Efes, but will find it hard to make a living on the three-point line in Istanbul. It’s real road to victory is taking care of the ball, slowing the tempo, and making its passing count.

Derrick Brown will miss the next two weeks of action.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 157.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 29/10/2019, 09:45 CET, could have changed)

ALBA Berlin – AX Milano

These two teams enter the first double-round week of the season with inverted records and opposite trends. ALBA Berlin (1-3) will try to add a second win in front of its fans against a hot AX Armani Exchange Milan (3-1). ALBA started the season on the right foot but has lost three in a row, while Milan has done the opposite, losing its opener by double digits before turning things around with a trio of victories, including its last against Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul.

ALBA is in dire need of a shock, not because of its 1-3 record, but mainly because it needs to turn things around. The EuroLeague is the next level and the German squad seems to have found a brick wall after the first win. The hosts will have to make the most of the third-best offense in the league (85.0 ppg.) and the best mark in assists (23.0 apg.). However, it is also key not to forget about defense, especially on the arc, where Milan has the league’s third-most efficient shooters (42.0%).

Milan is on fire and it will look for its fourth straight win in Berlin. ALBA is a better team on offense, at least according to the numbers, but the guests have the better defense (77.8 to 89.0 points allowed) and slightly better shooting percentages from the field. ALBA is a team that allows almost 90 points per game, so Milan surely will seek to make the most of its defense in order convert steals and rebounds into easy baskets that could boost the guests to another win.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-2.5) at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 29/10/2019, 09:45 CET, could have changed)

Villeurbanne – Baskonia

Two teams tied at 2-2 will look to turn their records positive when LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne hosts KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz on the first night of the season’s first double-round week. ASVEL managed to win two home games before hitting the road for painful losses, so the hosts will try to rebound by staying perfect at the Astroballe. Baskonia plays its fourth game on the road and will look to turn a home win last week into a streak.

After a dream-like start to the season, ASVEL faced EuroLeague reality with two big losses on the road. The hosts will look to maintain their charm at home despite being the second-weakest offense in the league (70.0 ppg.). Baskonia averages 7 more points per game, but ASVEL shoots with higher accuracy (34.2%), if less frequently, from behind the arc. If the hosts manage to control the rebounds against an opponent that specializes in that aspect, they will be on their way to a new home victory.

After two losses in a row, Baskonia managed to find the winning path again last week and will look to stay on it for the short trip to Villeurbanne, which is perfect for the visiting team in this double-round week. Baskonia is pulling 10 rebounds more per game than ASVEL thus far and will want to capitalize on that, as well as its solid 54% on two-point shots. If Baskonia manages to make its third-best defense in the league shine again, they could become the first team this season to win at the Astroballe.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (5.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 29/10/2019, 09:45 CET, could have changed)

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Thursday matches

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Euroleague Basketball Predictions

The action in the Euroleague continues. We have now completed the first third of the regular season and we can predict with more confidence on european basketball matches today. So, let’s dive straight into our Euroleague picks for today’s games:

Our EuroLeague basketball tips appear under each mini game preview.

Panathinaikos – Milan

On Thursday at OAKA stadium in Athens, Panathinaikos (5-6) hosts Milan (3-8), two teams with recent trends in opposition, square off. Four of the Greens’ previous five games have ended in victories, including three straight at home. Milan has lost seven straight games mainly due to injuries, tying its worst losing streak in the EuroLeague this century.

Panathinaikos’ recent victories saw them allow 67 and 58 points, which are season highs for the team’s defence under head coach Dejan Radonjic. In each of those contests, five or more shooters connected on three-pointers, enabling the Greens move up to seventh place (38.0%) in three-point shooting efficiency. The big guns for Panathinaikos are Dwayne Bacon (18.5 ppg) and Derrick Williams (15.7), and if either player is at their best, this club can compete on the hishest level. Watch out if they are both.

The inability to rebound has been a problem for both sides. No team has outrebounded opponents less times than Panathinaikos (38.1 rpg.). Milan is the next team in that category with 37.5 rpg., but has only done it once in 11 games. Both sides have done a good job of guarding their own boards, but they have not contributed much on offence. Because of this, Panathinaikos and Milan have both allowed  more offensive rebounds than they have managed to grab on their own offensive glass. We chose a high-scoring game here with that in mind.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 152.5 at 2.00

Alba Berlin – Fenerbahce

In an intriguing matchup in the German capital, Fenerbahce (9-2) faces off against ALBA Berlin (3-8). ALBA has lost its last eight games after a 3-0 start. Fenerbahce remains in first place after last week’s home loss to Real Madrid. The last two times ALBA has visited Berlin, it has defeated Fenerbahce.

ALBA lifts its offensive by relying on its passing game. With 21.5 assists per game, Israel Gonzalez’s squad leads the EuroLeague. This year, Luke Sikma has averaged 6.4 assists per game as ALBA’s primary offensive conduit. To increase their chances of winning this game, the German champions must involve their numerous shooters, particularly Maodo Lo and Gabriele Procida. ALBA must stop Calathes and Hazer from controlling the game’s tempo on defence.

It will be difficult for Alba to win, but the handicap might not be covered.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (+3.5) at 1.90

Maccabi – Valencia

Maccabi hosts Valencia in a matchup of two teams that are on the outside looking toward the playoff zone. Despite losing two straight games, Maccabi (5-6) has been one of the best teams at home this season, going 5-1 when playing at Menorah Mivtachim Arena. Valencia (5-6) just defeated Partizan in overtime and has a 3-2 winning road record this year.

Maccabi’s go-to player Lorenzo Brown (18.1 ppg, 6.5 apg) might have more support this week as Baldwin (15.6 ppg) and Hilliard are anticipated to return after missing Friday’s setback in Munich. Adams made a commendable transition, setting a personal best with 21 points in his debut EuroLeague game, and may be entitled to a bigger role moving ahead.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+5.5) at 1.90

Partizan – Crvena Zvezda

In front of a sold-out crowd of 16,745 spectators at Stark Arena in the Serbian capital, Belgrade, Partizan (4-7) plays Crvena Zvezda (5-6) in one of the fiercest cross-town rivalries in sports.

Partizan enters the game in need of a victory after suffering back-to-back losses in which it scored at least 96 points but allowed more than 100 to its opponents, giving it the league’s worst defence (88.1 oppg.). Although Partizan attempts fewer long-range shots than 15 other teams, they are aggressive enough to rank second in both free throw success (16.9) and accuracy at the foul line (84.2%), where they are first in three-point efficiency (39.8%). Punter (15.9 ppg), Nunnally (11.2) and Exum (11.2) will likely handle the ball inside, followed by Lessort (12.7) and LeDay (13.9) on the outside. However, what they all do defensively may have a greater impact.

basketball prediction Tip: Partizan Over 83.5 at 1.83

Real Madrid – Monaco

Real Madrid (8-3) and Monaco (8-3) will face off against one another at the WiZink Center. Real is on a six-game winning streak following its lone home loss to Virtus Bologna in Round 5. After losing four straight meetings, the most recent coming at home in double OT, 84-90, last season, Monaco has won its previous two contests and is prepared to battle for its first-ever win over Los Blancos.

Real is crucial to getting the ball moving in transition since it leads the league in defensive rebounding (26.7 drpg.) and is second in blocked shots (4.0 bpg.). Connecting with Tavares and Poirier should be crucial in this game because Real ranks third in two-point shooting (58.5% 2FG) and has a size advantage in the paint at the “5” position. Abalde, Williams-Goos, and Hanga should all be utilised while playing a high-scoring club in order to halt Mike James.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 163.5 at 1.88

(All prices correct at 07/12/2022, 19:00 CET, subject to change)

News Source: Euroleague.net

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Standings provided by Sofascore

Disclaimer: This is not investment or gambling advice. Always conduct your own independent research.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Friday matches

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Euroleague Basketball Predictions

The action in the Euroleague continues. We have almost completed the first third of the regular season and we can predict with more confidence on european basketball matches today. So, let’s dive straight into our Euroleague picks for today’s games:

Our EuroLeague basketball tips appear under each mini game preview.

Cvena Zvezda – Virtus Bologna

Friday night’s early tipoff at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall features a matchup between Crvena Zvezda (4-6) and Virtus Bologna (4-6), both of which are in same wins but different states of form.

Zvezda has won its previous three EuroLeague games after hiring Dusko Ivanovic as their head coach, defeating ASVEL Villeurbanne, ALBA Berlin, and Maccabi. Both point guard Vildoza and fellow guard Nedovic, who previously played for Coach Ivanovic at Baskonia, have begun to have a bigger influence. Curiously, only two players reached double digits in points in the victory over Maccabi: Nedovic had 12 and Martin had 11. Zvezda will probably have to work hard for every point it scores when facing a strong defence like Virtus, which has the fourth-best ranking in the EuroLeague on this end of the floor.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.15

Fenerbahce – Real Madrid

Both teams are in good shape going into their matchup at Ulker Sports and Event Hall: Fenerbahce (9-1) has just lost one game all season while Real Madrid (7-3) has won five consecutive.

Fenerbahce made a number of roster adjustments during the offseason, including the hiring of Dimitris Itoudis as the new head coach, and ever since, the team has been on fire. In addition to having the greatest record in the EuroLeague this season, Fenerbahce also has the second-highest ratings on attack and defence. Injury has kept Pierre out of the previous two games for Fenerbahce, but Hayes-Davis has filled in admirably. In two contests, Hayes-Davis actually led the club in scoring with 21 points against Monaco and 22 points at EA7 Milan. Due to an injury, Wilbekin will miss the Real Madrid game, but Los Blancos have already seen how much trouble they can cause when Hayes-Davis, Calathes, Motley, and Guduric are on the field.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+1.5) at 1.95

Zalgiris – Panathinaikos

At Zalgirio Arena, Zalgiris (6-4) will play host to Panathinaikos (4-6), who has a 4-6 record and is coming off back-to-back victories in the EuroLeague double-round week.

Zalgiris is now 4-0 this season overall at Zalgirio Arena and has won four of its previous five games. Zalgiris are a very dangerous possibility in this year’s EuroLeague thanks to the never-say-die spirit that first-year head coach Maksvytis has fostered in his players. Evans, Smits, and club captain Ulanovas, who have all contributed significantly over the past few games, will be motivated to keep Zalgiris’s home winning streak intact when Panathinaikos visits.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 160.5 at 1.90

Bayern Munich – Maccabi

When it hosts Maccabi, Bayern Munich will try to get back on track. Before losing by one point in Monaco last week, Bayern (3-7) had won three of its previous four games. After losing in a thrilling match to Crvena Zvezda on Thursday in Belgrade, Maccabi (5-5) is still looking for its first road victory of the year. Additionally, Maccabi’s most recent victory in Munich was in March 2019.

Two former Bayern stars will travel back to Munich for the game. In 2021, Baldwin helped Bayern to within one shot of the Final Four, and Hilliard led Bayern in scoring last season with 13.7 points per game. Together, they and Lorenzo Brown form a lethal Maccabi backcourt. Baldwin (15.6 ppg, 4.5 apg) ranks second on the squad in both categories, while Brown (16.3 ppg) leads Maccabi in both. Brown is also tied for third in the league in assists (6.4 apg).

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.25

(All prices correct at 02/12/2022, 09:00 CET, subject to change)

News Source: Euroleague.net

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Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore

Disclaimer: This is not investment or gambling advice. Always conduct your own independent research.

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BASKETBALL

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Thursday matches

Published

on

Euroleague Basketball Predictions

The action in the Euroleague continues. We have almost completed the first third of the regular season and we can predict with more confidence on european basketball matches today. So, let’s dive straight into our Euroleague picks for today’s games:

Our EuroLeague basketball tips appear under each mini game preview.

Alba Berlin – Barcelona

On Thursday night, Round 11 will feature a matchup between two teams at different ends of the spectrum as ALBA Berlin (3-7) hosts Barcelona (7-3). The 13th meeting between these two clubs in the EuroLeague this century will take place, with Barca winning 11 of the previous 12. Despite Jaleen Smith’s 12 points, 6 rebounds, and 3 assists in a Round 10 loss to Olympiacos, ALBA has lost seven straight games since going 3-0 to open the season. With Jan Vesely scoring 18 points, Barcelona has won five of its previous six games, including its most recent victory over Baskonia, 96-84.

Few people would disagree that the reality is what it appears to be on paper. With the exception of turnovers and shooting percentages across the board, ALBA outperforms Barcelona in all significant statistical categories. Although they continue to lead the league in total rebounds (37.2) and assists (22.0), the hosts’ recent success has not been reflected in victories. The third-best league defence will force ALBA to put their offensive fireworks to the test. ALBA will also need to play tight on defence and work to reduce the 81.9 points it gives up per game. In order to try and end ALBA’s losing streak, players like Blatt, Olinde, and Sikma will have to stand up and help Smith in seizing the reins.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 160.5 at 1.90

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

At Sinan Erdem Sports Hall, Anadolu Efes (5-5) takes on Olympiacos (7-3) in a highly anticipated matchup. For the first time since the EuroLeague semifinals of last year, the teams square off. In that match, Vasilije Micic’s buzzer-beating three-pointer helped Efes defeat Olympiacos 74-77. Efes ultimately won the EuroLeague championship. Kostas Sloukas’ game-winning shot helped Olympiacos defeat Efes 87-85 in overtime earlier in the 2021–22 campaign. Expect a fantastic game with all the big characters still on their respective teams.

Efes is now on a three-game winning streak and may be in its finest shape of the year. Micic (18.2 ppg, 6.4 apg, 21.7) and Clyburn (20.4 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 22.3 PIR) have been the team’s leaders thus far this season, respectively placing first and second in terms of minutes played per game. In recent games, Efes has displayed a more diversified approach: Pleiss scored 13 points against EA7 Milan in Round 9, and Beaubois scored 19 points and had a PIR of 30 against Virtus Bologna in Round 10. With only 14.7 assists per night, Efes is tied for 15th in the league, thus there is room for growth during the season.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-4.5) at 1.95

Asvel Villeurbanne – Monaco

The Astroaballe will host the rematch between ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-7) and Monaco, two very familiar teams (7-3). Last season, these groups exchanged wins on the road in the EuroLeague. After Monaco defeated ASVEL 75-100 shortly after, ASVEL narrowly defeated Monaco 84-85 on a long buzzer-beating triple by Howard. Both teams advanced to the French League finals, when ASVEL defeated Monaco with a score of 3-2 after a tense playoff series.

Currently on a five-game losing streak in the EuroLeague, ASVEL is having trouble. Its primary pillars up until this point have been De Colo (12.3 ppg., 53.1% 3FG, 3.7 apg., 14.0 PIR), Mathews (10.8 ppg.), and Fall (10.5 ppg., 65.1% 2FG, 7.6 rpg., 14.4 PIR). Since ASVEL has only shot two points at 45.4% of its last five games, attacking the rim for simple baskets should be a priority for ASVEL when facing a run-and-gun team.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 157.5 at 1.87

Baskonia – Milano

Baskonia (5-5) welcomes EA7 Milan (7-3) in what should be an intriguing tactical matchup. Despite the fact that their initial encounter took place in 2009, this is their 22nd rendezvous. With a record of 11-10 against Baskonia, Milan won both of their meetings last year: 64-78 at Buesa Arena and 89-78 at Mediolanum Forum. Be prepared for a fierce basketball match.

Baskonia recently suffered a road setback to Barcelona but has played well at home this year, going 4-1 with Olympiacos Piraeus being the lone defeat. The home team leader in scoring (99.2 ppg) and PIR (113.2) is Baskonia, who also shoots the ball well (62.7% 2FG, 44.2% 2FG) and averages about 10 more points per game than any other team. Few teams can win at Buesa Arena if Baskonia maintains its regular home game numbers and plays at full throttle.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.90

Partizan – Valencia

When Partizan (4-6) hosts Valencia, there will be a match between two teams with the same record (4-6). LeDay put up a performance of 20 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists, but Partizan’s trip to Spain last week ended in a defeat to Real Madrid. Although Valencia lost to Zalgiris at home, 76-80, despite Chris Jones’ 19 points and 7 assists, they also lost to Real previous week. Partizan and Valencia will be playing one other for the first time ever in the EuroLeague.

Partizan will use this as one of its main weapons against Valencia because it leads the league in three-point shooting accuracy at 41.1%. To increase their average of 14.7 assists, the hosts must watch the visitors’ aggressive defence (7.1 spg.) and work to improve ball circulation. Valencia ranks bottom in average blocks (1.3), thus there may be a chance for the hosts to earn their fifth victory in the paint.

basketball prediction Tip: Partizan Over 85.5 at 1.83

(All prices correct at 01/12/2022, 09:00 CET, subject to change)

News Source: Euroleague.net

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Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore

Disclaimer: This is not investment or gambling advice. Always conduct your own independent research.

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