The Regular Season’s final double-week is here. Round 27 is on Tuesday and Wednesday while Round 28 follows on Thursday and Friday. There is a batch of key match-ups, including the Clasico Game of the Week, Real Madrid – Barcelona, which could prove decisive for both teams.
Wednesday’s matches
On Wednesday, CSKA Moscow (19-7) can secure home-court advantage in the playoffs by winning at home against Darussafaka Dogus Istanbul (13-13), which is still very much in the hunt for a slot in the next stage. CSKA remains the competition’s leading scorer with an average of 87.3 points, but also shows plenty of defensive hustle after making 7.2 steals per game, third best in the league. Darussafaka’s greatest asset is earning plenty of second chances to score, ranking second in the league in offensive rebounding with 11.7 per game. My choice here is the home win with a handicap of -10.5 point is priced at 1.90 with bet365
After beating two of the top three already this month, Galatasaray Odeabank Istanbul (9-17) will attempt to continue its positive end to the season at home to an Unics Kazan team (7-19) which has lost nine games in a row. Galatasaray leads the league in blocked shots with an average of 3.7 per game, but doesn’t show the same physicality at the other end of the court, drawing a league-low average of 18.6 fouls. The battle for the foul line could give an opening to Unics, which ranks fifth in the league in free throws with 14.1 per game. There is no point to back a home win with a handicap when there is no chance for qualification. Free basketball can guide to Over 162.0 points priced at 1.90 with bet365.
Devotion is guaranteed when Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (15-11) attempts to continue its charge towards the playoffs against visiting Olympiacos Piraeus (18-8), which would clinch home-court advantage with a win. Expect a physical battle between two teams which excel on defense – Olympiacos leads the league in defensive rebounds with 25.9 per game, while nobody comes to close matching Zvezda’s average of 8.9 steals. And that last statistic could prove particularly telling with Olympiacos possessing the competition’s second-worst assist-to-turnover ratio, 119.2%. Olympiacos has more possibilities than the odds say and we will back the away win with the handicap of +2.5 at 1.90.
Last but no means least, the Game of the Week sees Real Madrid (19-7) host eternal rivals FC Barcelona Lassa (10-16) knowing victory would be enough to both secure home-court advantage in the playoffs and eliminate the visiting team. Madrid claimed a huge 39 point victory when the teams met in Round 8, and will look to use the offensive firepower which has allowed it to lead the league in overall performance index rating with an average of 103.6, while Barcelona is next-to-last in that category with a PIR of 80.2 per game. Please, let me enjoy this one… 🙂 No bet.
Daily Basketball Picks
| Date | League | Event | Pick | Odds | Bet | +/- | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2023 | NBA | IND Pacers - BOS Celtics | 2 (-4.5) | 1.90 | 1500 | Pre | |
| 03/12/2023 | FRA - A | Monaco - Paris | 2 (+7.5) | 1.90 | 700 | -700 | Pre |
| 02/12/2023 | NBA | CHI Bulls - NO Pelicans | 2 (-4.0) | 1.90 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 01/12/2023 | NBA | BOS Celtics - PHI 76ers | Over 222.5 | 1.90 | 2000 | +1800 | Pre |
| 30/11/2023 | NBA | CHI Bulls - MIL Bucks | 2 (-7.5) | 1.90 | 1000 | -1000 | Pre |
| 30/11/2023 | EL | Monaco - Olympiacos | Under 156.5 | 1.90 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 29/11/2023 | NBA | TOR Raptors - PHX Suns | Over 222.5 | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 28/11/2023 | NBA | MIA Heat - MIL Bucks | 1 (+3.0) | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 27/11/2023 | NBA | UTA Jazz - NO Pelicans | 1 (+4.0) | 1.90 | 200 | +180 | Pre |
| 26/11/2023 | NBA | MIL Bucks - POR Trail Blazers | 1 (-12.5) | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 25/11/2023 | NBA | UTA Jazz - NO Pelicans | 1 | 2.00 | 200 | +200 | Pre |
| 24/11/2023 | EL | Efes - Partizan | 2 (+3.0) | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 23/11/2023 | EL | Panathinaikos - Valencia | Home Over 81.5 | 2.17 | 2000 | +2340 | Pre |
| 22/11/2023 | NBA | BOS Celtics - MIL Bucks | Over 235.5 | 1.90 | 1000 | -1000 | Pre |
| 21/11/2023 | NBA | LA Lakers - UTA Jazz | 2 (+8.5) | 1.90 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 20/11/2023 | NBA | CHI Bulls - MIA Heat | 1 (+1.5) | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 19/11/2023 | NBA | CLE Cavaliers - DEN Nuggets | 2 (-2.5) | 1.95 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 18/11/2023 | NBA | MIL Bucks - DAL Mavericks | Over 242.5 | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 17/11/2023 | NBA | CLE Cavaliers - DET Pistons | 2 (+8.5) | 1.95 | 2000 | +1900 | Pre |
| 16/11/2023 | EL | Maccabi - Fenerbahce | Over 160.5 | 1.90 | 1000 | -1000 | Pre |
| 15/11/2023 | EL | Panathinaikos - Zalgiris | 1 & Over 150.5 | 1.90 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 14/11/2023 | EL | Valencia - Real Madrid | Over 157.5 | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 13/11/2023 | NBA | MIL Bucks - CHI Bulls | Over 229.0 | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 12/11/2023 | NBA | LA Clippers - MEM Grizzlies | 2 (+8.5) | 1.95 | 200 | +190 | Pre |
| 11/11/2023 | NBA | ORL Magic - MIL Bucks | 2 (-3.0) | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 10/11/2023 | EL | ALBA - Panathinaikos | 2 (-3.5) | 1.95 | 400 | +380 | Pre |
| 09/11/2023 | EL | Partizan - Fenerbahce | 1 (-6.5) | 2.20 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 08/11/2023 | EC | Turk Telekom - Gran Canaria | Over 160.5 | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 07/11/2023 | EC | Venezia - Cedevita | 2 (+8.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 06/11/2023 | NBA | DET Pistons - GS Warriors | 2 (-6.0) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 05/11/2023 | NBA | DET Pistons - PHX Suns | 2 (-5.5) | 1.90 | 200 | +180 | Pre |
| 04/11/2023 | NBA | PHI 76ers - PHX Suns | Over 220.5 | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 03/11/2023 | EL | Virtus Bologna - Efes | 1 (-2.5) | 1.90 | 200 | +180 | Pre |
| 02/11/2023 | EL | Fenerbahce - Olympiacos | 1 (-4.5) | 1.95 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 31/10/2023 | EL | Milano - Maccabi | 2 (+5.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 30/10/2023 | GRE - A1 | Olympiacos - Panathinaikos | 2 (+7.5) | 1.90 | 200 | +180 | Pre |
| 29/10/2023 | GRE - A1 | Lavrio - PAOK | Under 157.5 | 1.94 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 28/10/2023 | GRE - A1 | Marousi - Karditsa | 1 (-4.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 27/10/2023 | EL | Bayern - Fenerbahce | Under 159.5 | 1.90 | 200 | +180 | Pre |
| 26/10/2023 | EL | Real Madrid - Barcelona | Over 166.5 | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 25/10/2023 | EC | Slask - Aris Salonika | 2 (-2.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 24/10/2023 | BCL | Darussafaka - Tenerife | 1 (+4.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 23/10/2023 | GRE - A1 | Panathinaikos - Lavrio | Over 158.5 | 1.95 | 1000 | +950 | Pre |
| 22/10/2023 | SPA - ACB | Baskonia - Malaga | 1 (-4.5) | 1.98 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 21/10/2023 | SPA - ACB | Joventut - Andorra | 1 (-7.5) | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 20/10/2023 | EL | Barca - Bayern | 2 (+8.5) | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 19/10/2023 | EL | Olympiacos - Partizan | 2 (+6.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 18/10/2023 | EL | Virtus Bologna - Alba Berlin | 1 (-8.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 17/10/2023 | EL | Milano - Olympiacos | 1 | 1.78 | 1000 | +780 | Pre |
| 15/10/2023 | ITA - A | Varese - Tortona | Over 169.5 | 1.95 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 14/10/2023 | ITA - A | Milano - Reggio Emilia | Under 155.5 | 1.90 | 1000 | +900 | Pre |
| 13/10/2023 | EL | Olympiacos - Barcelona | 2 | 2.20 | 2000 | +2400 | Pre |
| 12/10/2023 | EL | Alba Berlin - Baskonia | Under 167.5 | 2.00 | 1000 | -1000 | Pre |
| 11/10/2023 | EC | Gran Canaria - Ulm | 1 (-8.5) | 1.95 | 3000 | +2850 | Pre |
| 10/10/2023 | EC | Lietkabelis - Aris | 2 (+4.5) | 1.95 | 2000 | -2000 | Pre |
| 09/10/2023 | GRE - A1 | Panathinaikos - Aris | Over 160.5 | 1.91 | 1400 | -1400 | Pre |
| 08/10/2023 | GRE - A1 | Aris - Olympiacos | 1 (+18.5) | 1.95 | 2000 | +1900 | Pre |
| 07/10/2023 | SPA - ACB | Tenerife - Breogan | Under 157.5 | 1.87 | 1700 | -1700 | Pre |
| 06/10/2023 | EL | Panathinaikos - Olympiacos | Under 154.5 | 1.91 | 1000 | -1000 | Pre |
| 05/10/2023 | EL | Maccabi - Partizan | 2 (+4.5) | 1.85 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 04/10/2023 | EC | Aris - Gran Canaria | 1 (+6.5) | 1.95 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 01/10/2023 | SPA - ACB | Real Madrid - Barca | Over 166.5 | 1.95 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 30/09/2023 | GRE - SC | Olympiacos - Panathinaikos | Under 157.5 | 1.93 | 200 | +186 | Pre |
| 29/09/2023 | GRE - SC | Peristeri - Olympiacos | 1 (+13.5) | 1.93 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 28/09/2023 | SPA - ACB | Joventut - Granada | 2 (+11.5) | 1.90 | 500 | +450 | Pre |
| 27/09/2023 | SPA - ACB | Murcia - Baskonia | 1 (+4.5) | 2.00 | 2000 | +2000 | Pre |
| 26/09/2023 | FRA - PRO | Monaco - Saint-Quenin | 1 (-19.5) | 2.05 | 1000 | -1000 | Pre |
| 24/09/2023 | SPA - ACB | Gran Canaria - Manresa | 2 (+8.5) | 1.95 | 2000 | +1900 | Pre |
| 23/09/2023 | ITA - SC | Milano - Virtus Bologna | Over 154.5 | 1.80 | 1500 | -1500 | Pre |
| 19/09/2023 | WNBA | DAL Wings - ATL Dream | Under 170.5 | 1.90 | 900 | -900 | Pre |
| 18/09/2023 | FRA - Cup | Pont de Cheruy - Antibes | 2 (-11.5) | 1.90 | 300 | -300 | Pre |
| 17/09/2023 | WNBA | LV Aces - CHI Sky | Over 170.5 | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 13/09/2023 | WNBA | LV Aces - CHI Sky | Over 170.5 | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 10/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Germany - Serbia | Over 42.5 Total Fouls | 1.85 | 200 | +170 | Pre |
| 09/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Latvia - Lithuania | Over 173.5 | 1.95 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 08/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Serbia - Canada | 1 (+4.5) | 1.90 | 400 | +360 | Pre |
| 07/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Italy - Latvia | 1 | 1.90 | 150 | -150 | Pre |
| 06/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Canada - Slovenia | Under 176.5 | 1.95 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 05/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Italy - USA | Under 178.5 | 1.95 | 100 | +95 | Pre |
| 03/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Spain - Canada | Over 168.5 | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 02/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Jordan - Mexico | 2 (-5.5) | 2.00 | 100 | +100 | Pre |
| 01/09/2023 | WC 2023 | Lithuania - Greece | 1 (-7.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 31/08/2023 | WC 2023 | Egypt - Jordan | 1 | 1.95 | 400 | +380 | Pre |
| 30/08/2023 | WC 2023 | USA - Jordan | Over 185.5 | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 29/08/2023 | WC 2023 | Montenegro - Lithuania | 1 (+5.5) | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 28/08/2023 | WC 2023 | Brazil - Spain | Over 162.5 | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 27/08/2023 | WC 2023 | Italy - Dominican Rep. | 2 (+5.5) | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 26/08/2023 | WC 2023 | USA - New Zealand | 2 (+36.5) | 1.90 | 1000 | +900 | Pre |
| 25/08/2023 | WC 2023 | Canada - France | Over 167.5 | 1.95 | 400 | -400 | Pre |
| 20/08/2023 | OG - Q | Turkey - Croatia | Over 167.5 | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 18/08/2023 | OG - Q | Croatia - Ukraine | Over 159.5 | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 17/08/2023 | OG - Q | Chile - Colombia | Under 148.5 | 1.90 | 400 | +360 | Pre |
| 16/08/2023 | OG - Q | Portugal - Poland | Over 152.5 | 1.90 | 200 | -200 | Pre |
| 15/08/2023 | OG - Q | Bulgaria - Iceland | 1 (+4.5) | 1.95 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 14/08/2023 | OG - Q | Sweden - Croatia | Over 155.5 | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
| 13/08/2023 | WNBA | WAS Mystics - CHI Sky | Under 159.5 | 1.95 | 200 | +190 | Pre |
| 08/08/2023 | WNBA | CHI Sky - MIN Lynx | 1 (-3.5) | 1.95 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 04/08/2023 | WNBA | IND Fever - CON Sun | 2 (-7.5) | 1.90 | 200 | +180 | Pre |
| 02/08/2023 | WNBA | SEA Storm - DAL Wings | Over 168.5 | 1.90 | 100 | -100 | Pre |
| 01/08/2023 | WNBA | IND Fever - PHX Mercury | Under 160.5 | 1.90 | 100 | +90 | Pre |
Tuesday’s matches
First up, Fenerbahce (17-9) welcomes Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (9-17) to Istanbul looking for a victory which would secure a place in the playoffs. Despite their respective records Maccabi has outperformed the host in several statistical categories, including points per game (78.9 to 77.1) and rebounding (34.5 to 32.0), but the Israeli team needs to take better care of the ball after committing the second highest number of turnovers in the competition (14.4 per game). Not an easy one to call because Fener is playing with a couple of important absentees. Staying away from any pre-match bets.
A big battle is assured in Kaunas where in-form Zalgiris (12-14) will look for its seventh win in nine games with the visit of fellow playoff hopefuls Anadolu Efes Istanbul (14-12), which has won five of its last six. Establishing inside dominance could be key: no team has matched Efes’s average of 45.4 two-point attempts, and the Turkish team also leads the game in offensive rebounding (13.2 per game). But Zalgiris is fifth in that category (11.2 per game), while the teams are joint in fourth place in drawing the most fouls per game (20.8). This looks like a close battle but we will go with the home win including a handicap of -1.5 point which is priced at 1.90 with bet365
Depending on other results, victory could be enough to secure a spot in the playoffs for Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (15-11) when it travels to face eliminated Brose Baskets Bamberg (9-17). The Spanish team has a big advantage in rebounding, ranked third in the league with an average of 36.7 boards per game while Bamberg is dead last with an average of 31.1. But the host is a more accurate shooter, with a true shooting percentage of 50.7% – second-best in the competition – compared to Baskonia’s 48.1%. There could be an upset here with Bamberg playing for… glory and the 2.25 odds to win.
Panathinaikos Superfoods Athens (15-11) may also be able to advance to the next stage with a home win against EA7 Emporio Armani Milano (7-19), which will be aiming to end a five-game losing streak. The Greens have been a dominant force at home, winning nine consecutive games in Athens, partly thanks to committing fewer turnovers than any other team – just 10.8 per game. Milan, conversely, has averaged 14.1 turnovers, the fourth-worst tally of all teams. A home win with a handicap of -11.5 point is priced at 1.90 with bet365.
Stats source: euroleague.net
Basketball Tips: livetipster.com
