Euroleague Preview – Round 27 – The last double week

Euroleague Preview & Tips

The Regular Season’s final double-week is here. Round 27 is on Tuesday and Wednesday while Round 28 follows on Thursday and Friday. There is a batch of key match-ups, including the Clasico Game of the Week, Real Madrid – Barcelona, which could prove decisive for both teams.

Wednesday’s matches

On Wednesday, CSKA Moscow (19-7) can secure home-court advantage in the playoffs by winning at home against Darussafaka Dogus Istanbul (13-13), which is still very much in the hunt for a slot in the next stage. CSKA remains the competition’s leading scorer with an average of 87.3 points, but also shows plenty of defensive hustle after making 7.2 steals per game, third best in the league. Darussafaka’s greatest asset is earning plenty of second chances to score, ranking second in the league in offensive rebounding with 11.7 per game. My choice here is the home win with a handicap of -10.5 point is priced at 1.90 with bet365

After beating two of the top three already this month, Galatasaray Odeabank Istanbul (9-17) will attempt to continue its positive end to the season at home to an Unics Kazan team (7-19) which has lost nine games in a row. Galatasaray leads the league in blocked shots with an average of 3.7 per game, but doesn’t show the same physicality at the other end of the court, drawing a league-low average of 18.6 fouls. The battle for the foul line could give an opening to Unics, which ranks fifth in the league in free throws with 14.1 per game. There is no point to back a home win with a handicap when there is no chance for qualification. Free basketball can guide to Over 162.0 points priced at 1.90 with bet365.

Devotion is guaranteed when Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (15-11) attempts to continue its charge towards the playoffs against visiting Olympiacos Piraeus (18-8), which would clinch home-court advantage with a win. Expect a physical battle between two teams which excel on defense – Olympiacos leads the league in defensive rebounds with 25.9 per game, while nobody comes to close matching Zvezda’s average of 8.9 steals. And that last statistic could prove particularly telling with Olympiacos possessing the competition’s second-worst assist-to-turnover ratio, 119.2%. Olympiacos has more possibilities than the odds say and we will back the away win with the handicap of +2.5 at 1.90.

Last but no means least, the Game of the Week sees Real Madrid (19-7) host eternal rivals FC Barcelona Lassa (10-16) knowing victory would be enough to both secure home-court advantage in the playoffs and eliminate the visiting team. Madrid claimed a huge 39 point victory when the teams met in Round 8, and will look to use the offensive firepower which has allowed it to lead the league in overall performance index rating with an average of 103.6, while Barcelona is next-to-last in that category with a PIR of 80.2 per game. Please, let me enjoy this one… 🙂 No bet.

Daily Basketball Picks

04/12/2023NBAIND Pacers - BOS Celtics2 (-4.5)1.901500Pre
03/12/2023FRA - AMonaco - Paris2 (+7.5)1.90700-700Pre
02/12/2023NBACHI Bulls - NO Pelicans2 (-4.0)1.90400-400Pre
01/12/2023NBABOS Celtics - PHI 76ersOver 222.51.902000+1800Pre
30/11/2023NBACHI Bulls - MIL Bucks2 (-7.5)1.901000-1000Pre
30/11/2023ELMonaco - OlympiacosUnder 156.51.90400-400Pre
29/11/2023NBATOR Raptors - PHX SunsOver 222.51.90200-200Pre
28/11/2023NBAMIA Heat - MIL Bucks1 (+3.0)1.90100-100Pre
27/11/2023NBAUTA Jazz - NO Pelicans1 (+4.0)1.90200+180Pre
26/11/2023NBAMIL Bucks - POR Trail Blazers1 (-12.5)1.90100-100Pre
25/11/2023NBAUTA Jazz - NO Pelicans12.00200+200Pre
24/11/2023ELEfes - Partizan2 (+3.0)1.90100-100Pre
23/11/2023ELPanathinaikos - ValenciaHome Over 81.52.172000+2340Pre
22/11/2023NBABOS Celtics - MIL BucksOver 235.51.901000-1000Pre
21/11/2023NBALA Lakers - UTA Jazz2 (+8.5)1.90400-400Pre
20/11/2023NBACHI Bulls - MIA Heat1 (+1.5)1.90200-200Pre
19/11/2023NBACLE Cavaliers - DEN Nuggets2 (-2.5)1.95100-100Pre
18/11/2023NBAMIL Bucks - DAL MavericksOver 242.51.90100+90Pre
17/11/2023NBACLE Cavaliers - DET Pistons2 (+8.5)1.952000+1900Pre
16/11/2023ELMaccabi - FenerbahceOver 160.51.901000-1000Pre
15/11/2023ELPanathinaikos - Zalgiris1 & Over 150.51.90400-400Pre
14/11/2023ELValencia - Real MadridOver 157.51.90200-200Pre
13/11/2023NBAMIL Bucks - CHI BullsOver 229.01.90100-100Pre
12/11/2023NBALA Clippers - MEM Grizzlies2 (+8.5)1.95200+190Pre
11/11/2023NBAORL Magic - MIL Bucks2 (-3.0)1.90100-100Pre
10/11/2023ELALBA - Panathinaikos2 (-3.5)1.95400+380Pre
09/11/2023ELPartizan - Fenerbahce1 (-6.5)2.20200-200Pre
08/11/2023ECTurk Telekom - Gran CanariaOver 160.51.90100-100Pre
07/11/2023ECVenezia - Cedevita2 (+8.5)1.90100+90Pre
06/11/2023NBADET Pistons - GS Warriors2 (-6.0)1.90100+90Pre
05/11/2023NBADET Pistons - PHX Suns2 (-5.5)1.90200+180Pre
04/11/2023NBAPHI 76ers - PHX SunsOver 220.51.90100-100Pre
03/11/2023ELVirtus Bologna - Efes1 (-2.5)1.90200+180Pre
02/11/2023ELFenerbahce - Olympiacos1 (-4.5)1.95100-100Pre
31/10/2023ELMilano - Maccabi2 (+5.5)1.90100+90Pre
30/10/2023GRE - A1Olympiacos - Panathinaikos2 (+7.5)1.90200+180Pre
29/10/2023GRE - A1Lavrio - PAOKUnder 157.51.94100-100Pre
28/10/2023GRE - A1Marousi - Karditsa1 (-4.5)1.90100+90Pre
27/10/2023ELBayern - FenerbahceUnder 159.51.90200+180Pre
26/10/2023ELReal Madrid - BarcelonaOver 166.51.90100-100Pre
25/10/2023ECSlask - Aris Salonika2 (-2.5)1.90100+90Pre
24/10/2023BCLDarussafaka - Tenerife1 (+4.5)1.90100+90Pre
23/10/2023GRE - A1Panathinaikos - LavrioOver 158.51.951000+950Pre
22/10/2023SPA - ACBBaskonia - Malaga1 (-4.5)1.98400-400Pre
21/10/2023SPA - ACBJoventut - Andorra1 (-7.5)1.90200-200Pre
20/10/2023ELBarca - Bayern2 (+8.5)1.90100-100Pre
19/10/2023ELOlympiacos - Partizan2 (+6.5)1.90100+90Pre
18/10/2023ELVirtus Bologna - Alba Berlin1 (-8.5)1.90100+90Pre
17/10/2023ELMilano - Olympiacos11.781000+780Pre
15/10/2023ITA - AVarese - TortonaOver 169.51.95400-400Pre
14/10/2023ITA - AMilano - Reggio EmiliaUnder 155.51.901000+900Pre
13/10/2023ELOlympiacos - Barcelona22.202000+2400Pre
12/10/2023ELAlba Berlin - BaskoniaUnder 167.52.001000-1000Pre
11/10/2023ECGran Canaria - Ulm1 (-8.5)1.953000+2850Pre
10/10/2023ECLietkabelis - Aris2 (+4.5)1.952000-2000Pre
09/10/2023GRE - A1Panathinaikos - ArisOver 160.51.911400-1400Pre
08/10/2023GRE - A1Aris - Olympiacos1 (+18.5)1.952000+1900Pre
07/10/2023SPA - ACBTenerife - BreoganUnder 157.51.871700-1700Pre
06/10/2023ELPanathinaikos - OlympiacosUnder 154.51.911000-1000Pre
05/10/2023ELMaccabi - Partizan2 (+4.5)1.85400-400Pre
04/10/2023ECAris - Gran Canaria1 (+6.5)1.95200-200Pre
01/10/2023SPA - ACBReal Madrid - BarcaOver 166.51.95100-100Pre
30/09/2023GRE - SCOlympiacos - PanathinaikosUnder 157.51.93200+186Pre
29/09/2023GRE - SCPeristeri - Olympiacos1 (+13.5)1.93100-100Pre
28/09/2023SPA - ACBJoventut - Granada2 (+11.5)1.90500+450Pre
27/09/2023SPA - ACBMurcia - Baskonia1 (+4.5)2.002000+2000Pre
26/09/2023FRA - PROMonaco - Saint-Quenin1 (-19.5)2.051000-1000Pre
24/09/2023SPA - ACBGran Canaria - Manresa2 (+8.5)1.952000+1900Pre
23/09/2023ITA - SCMilano - Virtus BolognaOver 154.51.801500-1500Pre
19/09/2023WNBADAL Wings - ATL DreamUnder 170.51.90900-900Pre
18/09/2023FRA - CupPont de Cheruy - Antibes2 (-11.5)1.90300-300Pre
17/09/2023WNBALV Aces - CHI SkyOver 170.51.90200-200Pre
13/09/2023WNBALV Aces - CHI SkyOver 170.51.90100-100Pre
10/09/2023WC 2023Germany - SerbiaOver 42.5 Total Fouls1.85200+170Pre
09/09/2023WC 2023Latvia - LithuaniaOver 173.51.95100-100Pre
08/09/2023WC 2023Serbia - Canada1 (+4.5)1.90400+360Pre
07/09/2023WC 2023Italy - Latvia11.90150-150Pre
06/09/2023WC 2023Canada - SloveniaUnder 176.51.95100-100Pre
05/09/2023WC 2023Italy - USAUnder 178.51.95100+95Pre
03/09/2023WC 2023Spain - CanadaOver 168.51.90100+90Pre
02/09/2023WC 2023Jordan - Mexico2 (-5.5)2.00100+100Pre
01/09/2023WC 2023Lithuania - Greece1 (-7.5)1.90100+90Pre
31/08/2023WC 2023Egypt - Jordan11.95400+380Pre
30/08/2023WC 2023USA - JordanOver 185.51.90200-200Pre
29/08/2023WC 2023Montenegro - Lithuania1 (+5.5)1.90100-100Pre
28/08/2023WC 2023Brazil - SpainOver 162.51.90100+90Pre
27/08/2023WC 2023Italy - Dominican Rep.2 (+5.5)1.90100+90Pre
26/08/2023WC 2023USA - New Zealand2 (+36.5)1.901000+900Pre
25/08/2023WC 2023Canada - FranceOver 167.51.95400-400Pre
20/08/2023OG - QTurkey - CroatiaOver 167.51.90200-200Pre
18/08/2023OG - QCroatia - UkraineOver 159.51.90100-100Pre
17/08/2023OG - QChile - ColombiaUnder 148.51.90400+360Pre
16/08/2023OG - QPortugal - PolandOver 152.51.90200-200Pre
15/08/2023OG - QBulgaria - Iceland1 (+4.5)1.95100-100Pre
14/08/2023OG - QSweden - CroatiaOver 155.51.90100+90Pre
13/08/2023WNBAWAS Mystics - CHI SkyUnder 159.51.95200+190Pre
08/08/2023WNBACHI Sky - MIN Lynx1 (-3.5)1.95100-100Pre
04/08/2023WNBAIND Fever - CON Sun2 (-7.5)1.90200+180Pre
02/08/2023WNBASEA Storm - DAL WingsOver 168.51.90100-100Pre
01/08/2023WNBAIND Fever - PHX MercuryUnder 160.51.90100+90Pre

Tuesday’s matches

First up, Fenerbahce (17-9) welcomes Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (9-17) to Istanbul looking for a victory which would secure a place in the playoffs. Despite their respective records Maccabi has outperformed the host in several statistical categories, including points per game (78.9 to 77.1) and rebounding (34.5 to 32.0), but the Israeli team needs to take better care of the ball after committing the second highest number of turnovers in the competition (14.4 per game). Not an easy one to call because Fener is playing with a couple of important absentees. Staying away from any pre-match bets.

A big battle is assured in Kaunas where in-form Zalgiris (12-14) will look for its seventh win in nine games with the visit of fellow playoff hopefuls Anadolu Efes Istanbul (14-12), which has won five of its last six. Establishing inside dominance could be key: no team has matched Efes’s average of 45.4 two-point attempts, and the Turkish team also leads the game in offensive rebounding (13.2 per game). But Zalgiris is fifth in that category (11.2 per game), while the teams are joint in fourth place in drawing the most fouls per game (20.8). This looks like a close battle but we will go with the home win including a handicap of -1.5 point which is priced at 1.90 with bet365

Depending on other results, victory could be enough to secure a spot in the playoffs for Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (15-11) when it travels to face eliminated Brose Baskets Bamberg (9-17). The Spanish team has a big advantage in rebounding, ranked third in the league with an average of 36.7 boards per game while Bamberg is dead last with an average of 31.1. But the host is a more accurate shooter, with a true shooting percentage of 50.7% – second-best in the competition – compared to Baskonia’s 48.1%. There could be an upset here with Bamberg playing for… glory and the 2.25 odds to win.

Panathinaikos Superfoods Athens (15-11) may also be able to advance to the next stage with a home win against EA7 Emporio Armani Milano (7-19), which will be aiming to end a five-game losing streak. The Greens have been a dominant force at home, winning nine consecutive games in Athens, partly thanks to committing fewer turnovers than any other team – just 10.8 per game. Milan, conversely, has averaged 14.1 turnovers, the fourth-worst tally of all teams. A home win with a handicap of -11.5 point is priced at 1.90 with bet365.

Stats source:

Basketball Tips:

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore