Euroleague Preview – Round 29 – Standings scenarios & tips

Euroleague Preview & Tips

One more turn and then straight. These could be the instructions to the teams making their way to the play-offs spots. We are only two rounds away from the end of the Regular Season , but still a lot to be decided in the final games. Real Madrid and CSKA Moscow will be 1st or 2nd while Olympiacos have also secured the 3rd place and the home advantage for the play-offs. The 4th place is still for grabs and the rest of the teams fight for a better ranking or their pride! Huge game of the week comes from Athens where Panathinaikos hosts CSKA Moscow.

Friday’s matches

Friday’s first tip-off comes in Istanbul, where to maintain hopes of claiming home-court advantage in the playoffs, Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (16-12) needs a win on its trip to face Galatasaray Odeabank (10-18). The Turkish team has been a dangerous opponent at Abdi Ipekci recently, winning four of its last five home games. Baskonia ranks third in the league in two-point conversions with an average of 22.3 per game, while Galatasaray prefers shooting from long-range, tying for fourth in three-pointers made (9.0). This is not an easy task for Baskonia and they might not cover the -5.0 points difference. The 1 (+5.0) is priced at 1.90 with bet365.

Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (15-13) will know by tip-off against visiting Unics Kazan (7-21) whether victory will be enough to secure a playoffs spot, but in any case the Serbian team will be anxious to end a two-game losing streak. Unics has lost 11 consecutive games and won just twice on the road all season, but did beat Zvezda in a tight game in Round 6. Expect both teams to seek inside dominance: Zvezda ranks last in three-pointers with 6.9 per game, while Unics is ranked 14th with 7.3 on average. It’s all or nothing for the Serbians and the home win with a handicap of -6.0 is priced at 1.90 with bet365.

After just falling short in its playoffs bid, Zalgiris Kaunas (13-15) plays its last home game of the season against an EA7 Emporio Armani Milano (7-21) team which has not won on the road since October. Defense has been a particular problem on its travels for Milan, which has conceded at least 90 points in four of its last six away games. After last week matching its highest road scoring tally in 12 years, Zalgiris will seek similar success after scoring no more than 68 points in its last three home games. No bet here. Clearly.

Home-court advantage in the playoffs will be on the mind of Panathinaikos Superfoods Athens (17-11) as it welcomes a CSKA Moscow (21-7) team which is still chasing top spot in the standings. The Greens share the EuroLeague’s best defensive (73.3 points allowed per game) but will be sorely tested by CSKA’s league-leading offense (87.3 per game) on the back of the competition’s runaway best true shooting percentage (53.2%) – a category in which Panathinaikos ranks dead last, making just 46% of its shots. The two European giants score on average 144 points in their last 10 meetings. How can they can top the 157.0 is an answer they need to answer but I will stick with the Under 157.0, priced at 1.90 with bet365.

If Panathinaikos and Baskonia both lose, home-court advantage in the playoffs could be secured by Fenerbahce Istanbul (17-11) with a road victory at first-place Real Madrid (21-7). Fenerbahce has lost three of its last four games, while Madrid is looking to extend an 11-game winning run at home. Madrid has a sizeable rebounding advantage (36.5 per game to 32.2 per game), boasts the competition’s best assists-to-turnover ratio (172.7%) and has had the fewest number of shots blocked (1.86 per game). But Fenerbahce has a better three-point shooting percentage (39.2% to 37.1%).

Daily Basketball Picks

28/11/2023NBAMIA Heat - MIL Bucks1 (+3.0)1.90100Pre
27/11/2023NBAUTA Jazz - NO Pelicans1 (+4.0)1.90200+180Pre
26/11/2023NBAMIL Bucks - POR Trail Blazers1 (-12.5)1.90100-100Pre
25/11/2023NBAUTA Jazz - NO Pelicans12.00200+200Pre
24/11/2023ELEfes - Partizan2 (+3.0)1.90100-100Pre
23/11/2023ELPanathinaikos - ValenciaHome Over 81.52.172000+2340Pre
22/11/2023NBABOS Celtics - MIL BucksOver 235.51.901000-1000Pre
21/11/2023NBALA Lakers - UTA Jazz2 (+8.5)1.90400-400Pre
20/11/2023NBACHI Bulls - MIA Heat1 (+1.5)1.90200-200Pre
19/11/2023NBACLE Cavaliers - DEN Nuggets2 (-2.5)1.95100-100Pre
18/11/2023NBAMIL Bucks - DAL MavericksOver 242.51.90100+90Pre
17/11/2023NBACLE Cavaliers - DET Pistons2 (+8.5)1.952000+1900Pre
16/11/2023ELMaccabi - FenerbahceOver 160.51.901000-1000Pre
15/11/2023ELPanathinaikos - Zalgiris1 & Over 150.51.90400-400Pre
14/11/2023ELValencia - Real MadridOver 157.51.90200-200Pre
13/11/2023NBAMIL Bucks - CHI BullsOver 229.01.90100-100Pre
12/11/2023NBALA Clippers - MEM Grizzlies2 (+8.5)1.95200+190Pre
11/11/2023NBAORL Magic - MIL Bucks2 (-3.0)1.90100-100Pre
10/11/2023ELALBA - Panathinaikos2 (-3.5)1.95400+380Pre
09/11/2023ELPartizan - Fenerbahce1 (-6.5)2.20200-200Pre
08/11/2023ECTurk Telekom - Gran CanariaOver 160.51.90100-100Pre
07/11/2023ECVenezia - Cedevita2 (+8.5)1.90100+90Pre
06/11/2023NBADET Pistons - GS Warriors2 (-6.0)1.90100+90Pre
05/11/2023NBADET Pistons - PHX Suns2 (-5.5)1.90200+180Pre
04/11/2023NBAPHI 76ers - PHX SunsOver 220.51.90100-100Pre
03/11/2023ELVirtus Bologna - Efes1 (-2.5)1.90200+180Pre
02/11/2023ELFenerbahce - Olympiacos1 (-4.5)1.95100-100Pre
31/10/2023ELMilano - Maccabi2 (+5.5)1.90100+90Pre
30/10/2023GRE - A1Olympiacos - Panathinaikos2 (+7.5)1.90200+180Pre
29/10/2023GRE - A1Lavrio - PAOKUnder 157.51.94100-100Pre
28/10/2023GRE - A1Marousi - Karditsa1 (-4.5)1.90100+90Pre
27/10/2023ELBayern - FenerbahceUnder 159.51.90200+180Pre
26/10/2023ELReal Madrid - BarcelonaOver 166.51.90100-100Pre
25/10/2023ECSlask - Aris Salonika2 (-2.5)1.90100+90Pre
24/10/2023BCLDarussafaka - Tenerife1 (+4.5)1.90100+90Pre
23/10/2023GRE - A1Panathinaikos - LavrioOver 158.51.951000+950Pre
22/10/2023SPA - ACBBaskonia - Malaga1 (-4.5)1.98400-400Pre
21/10/2023SPA - ACBJoventut - Andorra1 (-7.5)1.90200-200Pre
20/10/2023ELBarca - Bayern2 (+8.5)1.90100-100Pre
19/10/2023ELOlympiacos - Partizan2 (+6.5)1.90100+90Pre
18/10/2023ELVirtus Bologna - Alba Berlin1 (-8.5)1.90100+90Pre
17/10/2023ELMilano - Olympiacos11.781000+780Pre
15/10/2023ITA - AVarese - TortonaOver 169.51.95400-400Pre
14/10/2023ITA - AMilano - Reggio EmiliaUnder 155.51.901000+900Pre
13/10/2023ELOlympiacos - Barcelona22.202000+2400Pre
12/10/2023ELAlba Berlin - BaskoniaUnder 167.52.001000-1000Pre
11/10/2023ECGran Canaria - Ulm1 (-8.5)1.953000+2850Pre
10/10/2023ECLietkabelis - Aris2 (+4.5)1.952000-2000Pre
09/10/2023GRE - A1Panathinaikos - ArisOver 160.51.911400-1400Pre
08/10/2023GRE - A1Aris - Olympiacos1 (+18.5)1.952000+1900Pre
07/10/2023SPA - ACBTenerife - BreoganUnder 157.51.871700-1700Pre
06/10/2023ELPanathinaikos - OlympiacosUnder 154.51.911000-1000Pre
05/10/2023ELMaccabi - Partizan2 (+4.5)1.85400-400Pre
04/10/2023ECAris - Gran Canaria1 (+6.5)1.95200-200Pre
01/10/2023SPA - ACBReal Madrid - BarcaOver 166.51.95100-100Pre
30/09/2023GRE - SCOlympiacos - PanathinaikosUnder 157.51.93200+186Pre
29/09/2023GRE - SCPeristeri - Olympiacos1 (+13.5)1.93100-100Pre
28/09/2023SPA - ACBJoventut - Granada2 (+11.5)1.90500+450Pre
27/09/2023SPA - ACBMurcia - Baskonia1 (+4.5)2.002000+2000Pre
26/09/2023FRA - PROMonaco - Saint-Quenin1 (-19.5)2.051000-1000Pre
24/09/2023SPA - ACBGran Canaria - Manresa2 (+8.5)1.952000+1900Pre
23/09/2023ITA - SCMilano - Virtus BolognaOver 154.51.801500-1500Pre
19/09/2023WNBADAL Wings - ATL DreamUnder 170.51.90900-900Pre
18/09/2023FRA - CupPont de Cheruy - Antibes2 (-11.5)1.90300-300Pre
17/09/2023WNBALV Aces - CHI SkyOver 170.51.90200-200Pre
13/09/2023WNBALV Aces - CHI SkyOver 170.51.90100-100Pre
10/09/2023WC 2023Germany - SerbiaOver 42.5 Total Fouls1.85200+170Pre
09/09/2023WC 2023Latvia - LithuaniaOver 173.51.95100-100Pre
08/09/2023WC 2023Serbia - Canada1 (+4.5)1.90400+360Pre
07/09/2023WC 2023Italy - Latvia11.90150-150Pre
06/09/2023WC 2023Canada - SloveniaUnder 176.51.95100-100Pre
05/09/2023WC 2023Italy - USAUnder 178.51.95100+95Pre
03/09/2023WC 2023Spain - CanadaOver 168.51.90100+90Pre
02/09/2023WC 2023Jordan - Mexico2 (-5.5)2.00100+100Pre
01/09/2023WC 2023Lithuania - Greece1 (-7.5)1.90100+90Pre
31/08/2023WC 2023Egypt - Jordan11.95400+380Pre
30/08/2023WC 2023USA - JordanOver 185.51.90200-200Pre
29/08/2023WC 2023Montenegro - Lithuania1 (+5.5)1.90100-100Pre
28/08/2023WC 2023Brazil - SpainOver 162.51.90100+90Pre
27/08/2023WC 2023Italy - Dominican Rep.2 (+5.5)1.90100+90Pre
26/08/2023WC 2023USA - New Zealand2 (+36.5)1.901000+900Pre
25/08/2023WC 2023Canada - FranceOver 167.51.95400-400Pre
20/08/2023OG - QTurkey - CroatiaOver 167.51.90200-200Pre
18/08/2023OG - QCroatia - UkraineOver 159.51.90100-100Pre
17/08/2023OG - QChile - ColombiaUnder 148.51.90400+360Pre
16/08/2023OG - QPortugal - PolandOver 152.51.90200-200Pre
15/08/2023OG - QBulgaria - Iceland1 (+4.5)1.95100-100Pre
14/08/2023OG - QSweden - CroatiaOver 155.51.90100+90Pre
13/08/2023WNBAWAS Mystics - CHI SkyUnder 159.51.95200+190Pre
08/08/2023WNBACHI Sky - MIN Lynx1 (-3.5)1.95100-100Pre
04/08/2023WNBAIND Fever - CON Sun2 (-7.5)1.90200+180Pre
02/08/2023WNBASEA Storm - DAL WingsOver 168.51.90100-100Pre
01/08/2023WNBAIND Fever - PHX MercuryUnder 160.51.90100+90Pre

Thursday’s matches

First up, red-hot Anadolu Efes Istanbul (16-12) will look to maintain hopes of claiming home-court advantage in the playoffs by gaining a fourth consecutive win when Olympiacos Piraeus (19-9) visits Turkey. Expect a big battle when Efes shoots: the host leads the league in offensive rebounds (12.9 per game), while Olympiacos is top in defensive boards (25.6 per game). Another indication of these teams’ physicality is that Efes ranks second in blocked shots (3.43 per game), just ahead of Olympiacos’s 3.4 on average. But the visitors also hold the best defense in the league and despite they are definitely 3rd, I believe they have a great chance of winning. However, I’m backing the away win with a handicap of +5.5 points at 1.90 with bet365.

In Germany, Darussafaka Dogus Istanbul (14-14) needs to defeat host Brose Bamberg (10-18) to keep its playoff qualification hopes in its own hands. To do so, Darussafaka will have to end a seven-game losing streak on the road, while Bamberg is also looking for a turnaround after dropping three straight home games. After pulling in 50 rebounds last week – the third highest single-game tally of all teams this season – Darussafaka will look to repeat that kind of display against a Bamberg team which ranks last in the league in rebounding, with just 31.3 boards per game. It is pride against targets here and I will surprise you by backing the Germans. The home win is priced at 2.75 with bet365. Long shot but I’ve taken it.

FC Barcelona Lassa (11-17) and Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (10-18) will play for pride in the knowledge that taking care of the ball is a priority: the Spanish team has committed more turnovers than any other team (14.9 per game), with Maccabi ranked joint third in that category (14.3 per game). Barcelona has committed the lowest number of fouls in the competition (18.3 per game), and that probably won’t change against Maccabi, which is ranked next-to-last in foul drawn with an average of 18.8. Despite the fact that Barcelona want to finish their poor regular season with a home win, Maccabi can prove unpredictable. Therefore I have to stay away from this one.

Stats source:

Basketball Tips:

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore