Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 10 – Friday

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ALBA Berlin – Efes

Two teams from the lower half of the standings will be playing to go a little higher in on Friday when ALBA Berlin (2-5) welcomes Zenit St Petersburg (3-2) for Round 10. ALBA snapped a two-game losing streak with a last-second win over ASVEL on Wednesday, 76-75. After missing four games due to COVID, Zenit has lost two of its last three, including the Russian derby against visiting Khimki, 83-88, on Tuesday.

This game will have two of the four lowest-scoring offenses in the league going against each other, but ALBA also has the poorest defense, allowing some 15 points more than Zenit on average. The hosts will have to lock down on defense if they want to win. Also, ALBA is last in the league in rebounds average (28.1 rpg.), which is a figure that could increase if that defensive aggressiveness starts working a bit better. Peyton Siva saved the day against ASVEL, but that does not happen every game.

Zenit is trying to find the competition rhythm again after missing a bunch of games, and the trip to Berlin can be a good chance to grow a bit more in that sense. ALBA has the worst defense of the league and is also the weakest team under the glass. Both are situations that the guests should try to exploit. The duo of guards formed by Billy Baron and Kevin Pangos will have to step up once again and try to lead Zenit against a team that should fit their style, on paper.

basketball prediction Tip: 2/2 at 1.83 with bet365
(Price correct at 20/11/2020, 08:50 CET, subject to change)

Milano – Zalgiris

Two teams look to salvage a victory from this double-round week meet on Friday when AX Armani Exchange Milan (3-3) welcomes Zalgiris Kaunas (5-4) for Round 10. Milan has lost its last two games, including Round 9’s at home against Zvezda, 79-87, on Wednesday. After a strong start, Zalgiris has lost its last three games, including a 78-87 home defeat to CSKA earlier this week.

Milan will want to bounce back soon from a painful home loss, and playing against the third-weakest team in the league under the glass could be a good opportunity. Zalgiris is the best team in the league from beyond the arc, 40.9%, and also from the free-throw line, 89.0%, so the hosts will have to try to limit Zalgiris’ options for good looks on offense, as Kaunas could revert quickly to its winning ways from the start of the season if allowed.

After a pristine start to the season, Zalgiris found a big bump in the road and will try to leave it behind in Italy. The guests have better numbers from all shooting ranges, but rebounds could be a problem. Zalgiris will have to try to run and move the ball on offense to put that shooting to work, but at the same time, to watch Milan scoring guards Sergio Rodriguez and Shavon Shields on defense.

Zalgiris swingman Patricio Garino will be out of action until December after a knee operation.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 156.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 20/11/2020, 08:50 CET, subject to change)

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Barcelona – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams coming from different places in the standings face off on Friday when FC Barcelona (7-1) welcomes Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (4-5) for Round 10. Barcelona leads the standings and saw its Roun 9 game earlier this week against Olympiacos postponed due to COVID. As such, the league leaders will look to regain their rhythm fast. Zvezda comes from a huge win at Milan, 79-87, that snapped a three-game losing streak. The guests will look to stay on that path and keep climbing spots on the ladder.

Barcelona not only sits atop the standings, but is also the EuroLeague’s highest-scoring team (83.1 ppg.) and the best in assists (20.9 apg.). But if you thought Barca was only about offense, think again, because it also boasts the best defense in the league, too, allowing just 70.0 points per game. The Catalan team is doing most things right, but it will have to pay attention to a Zvezda team coming loaded with confidence after a big road win in Milan.

Zvezda has a huge test in front of them to confirm that they are a team on the rise. On paper, Barcelona looks like a tall order. Confidence can be a great ally, but the guests will have to try to find more fluidity on offense to improve the assists numbers but also close in on defense to stop the huge, league-leading 60.0% accuracy rate for Barcelona in two-point shots.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+12.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 20/11/2020, 08:50 CET, subject to change)

Real – Fenerbahce

Two of the EuroLeague’s biggest modern rivals, who have met in four Final Fours since 2015, clash on Friday when Real Madrid (5-4) welcomes Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (4-5) to the Spanish capital. The hosts are on a four-game winning streak after having started the season 4-5. Fenerbahce’s season has been back-and-forth, with two wins, three losses, two wins and two losses in that order.

Real has shown during its streak that it can win high-scoring and low-scoring games with contributions across the board. Tavares, point guard Facundo Campazzo and forward Trey Thompkins have been the engines, but Gabriel Deck had his best game this season on Wednesday while Anthony Randolph, Jaycee Carroll and Rudy Fernandez have all stepped up recently, too. Real’s depth is its greatest strength, and at home for the entire double-round week, that could count even more. The ability of Campazzo to set the tempo and his teammates to keep up will be key in this one.

Fabien Causeur tested positive for COVID-19 and has not played since Round 2.

With legend Nando De Colo still injured, Fenerbahce has struggled to score, managing only 123 points total in back-to-back road losses to two other Spanish teams, FC Barcelona and TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Expect the visitors to slow down this game and hope to use their defensive toughness to try to survive. Lorenzo Brown will be tested to make sure his teammates get good shots against a Real defense that can be more aggressive with Tavares patrolling the paint. Frustrating the hosts in their desire to run could pay dividends for Fenerbahce as the game goes on.

De Colo will be sidelined until early December with a calf muscle injury.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-8.5) at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 20/11/2020, 08:50 CET, subject to change)

Valencia – Maccabi

Two teams coming from differing results and at different ends of the standings clash on Friday when Valencia Basket hosts Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv. Valencia took care of Panathinaikos OPAP Athens on Tuesday to improve to 3-1 at home with its lone loss coming against league-leading FC Barcelona. Maccabi is now 1-4 on the road after getting blown out by Real Madrid on Wednesday.

Valencia sits near the bottom of the rebounding charts with 31.6 per game, while Maccabi is second with 36.2. The Israeli champs are also tough on the offensive glass with 10.7 per game. Valencia has the size, length and depth to contend with Maccabi and must make every effort to lock down the boards, otherwise strong defensive plays could turn into second-chance points for the Israeli champs.

Joan Sastre is sidelined with a partial tear to the internal lateral ligament of his right knee.

Three-point shooting has proven to be a critical part of the Maccabi attack. It’s simply a better team when the shots are falling. How much better? In its three wins, Maccabi has averaged 10.7 three-pointers made at a 41.0% success rate in its three wins, while in its five losses, Maccabi has made just 8.2 threes at 31.8%. If Scottie Wilbekin, Elijah Bryant and Tyler Dorsey get their threes to fall early, it will be a massive boost for Maccabi.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 160.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 20/11/2020, 08:50 CET, subject to change)

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