Germany v Italy Preview and Tips – No win in 8 matches for the Germans

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PREVIEWSFOOTBALLPICK OF THE DAY

Winners play France or Iceland in the semi final.

Talk about Italy’s incredible record against Germany at this level is unavoidable. Italy have never lost to Germany either in the Euro or in the World Cup (4-4-0). However, both Joachim Löw and Antonio Conte are focused on the here and now ahead of their quarter-final clash.

Germany

They have not received a single goal in the first 4 games of the Euro. Germany topped their group with 2 wins and 1 draw (vs Poland), while in their first knock-out match they beat Slovakia comfortably by 3-0. But it looks like the Germans can be beaten. Neuer has kept himself busy in several occasions and it is a matter of time that Löw’s team concedes a goal. Will it be tonight? Our assumption is… yes.

There is a full squad to pick from.

Possible line-up
Germany: Neuer; Kimmich, Boateng, Hummels, Höwedes; Kroos, Khedira; Müller, Özil, Draxler; Gomez.
Misses next match if booked: Boateng, Hummels, Khedira, Kimmich, Özil

Italy

They defend exceptionally and have great chemistry despite not having big stars like in the past. A solid defence, the one that is winning the championships for Juventus in Italy (Buffon, Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini) is the base of success for Conte’s team. They played good football so far and they already sent Spain home, so they deserve the maximum respect something we do not see in the set of odds.

Daniele De Rossi a big injury doubt for Italy, while Thiago Motta is suspended and Candreva is sidelined.

Eleven players will miss next match if booked. A huge number, but Italy will try to qualify not thinking what it will cost them.

Possible line-up
Italy: Buffon; Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini; Florenzi, Sturaro, Parolo, Giaccherini, De Sciglio; Pellè, Éder.
Out: Candreva (adductor), Thiago Motta (suspended)
Doubtful: De Rossi (thigh)
Misses next match if booked: Barzagli, Bonucci, Buffon, Chiellini, De Rossi, De Sciglio, Éder, Insigne, Pellè, Sirigu, Zaza

Bet live on Germany v Italy at bet365 > Live In-Play

Our bet: It is a matter of odds. The bookmakers underestimate Italy. This will be a very close encounter and we back Conte’s team at 3.90. We ‘cover’ our bet with a 1-1 correct score draw.

Daily Football Picks

DateEventPickOddsConfidenceW/L
14/11/2026NLAustria - IrelandBTTS (GG)1.877/10
14/11/2026NLPortugal - DenmarkGG & Under 5.51.957/10
14/11/2026NLSweden - Bosnia1 & Over 2.52.138/10
13/11/2026NLScotland - North MacedoniaBTTS (GG)2.756/10✅
13/11/2026NLNetherlands - GreeceX/1 at HT/FT2.056/10❌
13/11/2026NLSlovakia - FeroeOver 2.51.858/10✅
12/11/2026NLCzechia - SpainBTTS (GG)2.058/10❌
12/11/2026NLEngland - CroatiaBTTS (GG)2.008/10✅
12/11/2026ARG - SCEstudiantes - Ind. Rivadavia12.457/10❌
11/11/2026BRA - BLondrina - NauticoBTTS (GG)1.758/10✅
11/11/2026ENG - FLTSheff Wed - AccringtonX/1 at HT/FT5.205/10❌
10/11/2026ENG - FLTOxford - CheltenhamBTTS (GG)1.838/10❌
10/11/2026ENG - FLTLeicester - Walsall1 & GG2.456/10✅
10/11/2026ENG - FLTCrew - WiganOver 2.51.757/10✅
09/11/2026SPA - LL2Sabadell - Sociedad BBTTS (GG)2.008/10❌
08/11/2026ITA - AGenoa - MilanBTTS (GG)1.958/10✅
08/11/2026ITA - AInter - ComoComo 1st goal2.407/10❌
08/11/2026ITA - AFiorentina - JuventusGG & Over 2.52.107/10✅
08/11/2026ENG - PLMan Utd - Aston Villa23.307/10❌
08/11/2026GER - BLFreiburg - Union Berlin1 & Over 2.52.159/10❌
07/11/2026ENG - CHWest Brom - MillwallBTTS (GG)1.709/10❌
07/11/2026ITA - ARoma - SassuoloRoma Over 2.51.909/10✅
07/11/2026SPA - LLValencia - Real MadridGG & Over 3.52.507/10❌
07/11/2026GER - BLLeipzig - Augsburg1 & GG2.307/10✅
06/11/2026SPA - LLSevilla - AlavesBTTS (GG)1.958/10❌
06/11/2026ENG - PLEverton - Coventry1 & Over 1.52.008/10✅
06/11/2026GER - BLHamburg - Gladbach2-3 goals2.107/10❌
05/11/2026EULAZ Alkmaar - JuventusBTTS (GG)1.709/10✅
05/11/2026CLPanathinaikos - CSKA Sofia1 & Over 2.52.108/10✅
05/11/2026EULMilan - Ferencvaros1/1 at HT/FT1.907/10❌
05/11/2026EULSociedad - Lyon1 & Over 1.51.909/10❌
04/11/2026CHLAEK - Real MadridBTTS (GG)1.659/10✅
04/11/2026CHLPorto - Napoli11.908/10✅
04/11/2026CHLViking - SabahUnder 3.52.007/10❌
04/11/2026CHLDortmund - BetisGG & Over 2.51.809/10✅
03/11/2026ENG - PLBirmingham - MillwallBTTS (GG)1.709/10❌
03/11/2026CHLVillareal - PSG21.759/10✅
03/11/2026CHLBarcelona - Aston Villa1 & Over 3.51.908/10❌
03/11/2026CHLShakhtar - SportingGG & Over 2.52.008/10❌
02/11/2026FRA - L1Lorient - BrestBTTS (GG)1.808/10❌
02/11/2026ENG - PLNewcastle - Everton1X & GG2.108/10❌
02/11/2026ITA - ASassuolo - FiorentinaGG & Over 2.51.759/10✅
01/11/2026ITA - AJuventus - NapoliBTTS (GG)1.758/10❌
01/11/2026GRE - SLPanathinaikos - AEK12.306/10✅
01/11/2026ITA - ALazio - Cagliari1 & Over 1.51.809/10✅
01/11/2026ENG - PLLiverpool - Arsenal2-3 goals2.008/10❌
31/10/2026SPA - LLBetis - MalagaBTTS (GG)1.858/10✅
31/10/2026ITA - AMilan - Inter22.058/10❌
31/10/2026GER - BLBayern - DortmundBTTS (GG) at HT3.256/10❌
31/10/2026ENG - PLAston Villa - Fulham12.009/10❌
30/10/2026SPA - LLVillareal - EspanyolBTTS (GG)1.709/10❌
30/10/2026FRA - L1Lille - LensBTTS (GG)1.729/10❌
30/10/2026NOR - ABodo - VikingGG & Over 3.52.008/10✅
30/10/2026FRA - L1Le Havre - PSGOver 3.51.908/10✅
29/10/2026ITA - AFrosinone - LecceUnder 2.53.107/10❌
29/10/2026ITA - AFiorentina - Atalanta1st G - Fiorentina1.808/10❌
28/10/2026ITA - AMilan - BolognaBTTS (GG)1.988/10✅
28/10/2026SCO - PLHearts - RangersGG & Over 2.51.908/10✅
28/10/2026ITA - AMonza - NapoliGG & Under 4.52.257/10❌
28/10/2026GRE - CUPPanathinaikos - ArisOver 2.52.157/10✅
27/10/2026ITA - ARoma - CagliariBTTS (GG)2.057/10✅
27/10/2026ITA - ATorino - ComoGG & Over 2.52.008/10✅
27/10/2026ITA - ASassuolo - LazioGG & Over 2.51.909/10✅
26/10/2026POR - LPSanta Clara - BenficaBTTS (GG)2.108/10✅
26/10/2026SPA - LLSevilla - Osasuna11.938/10✅
26/10/2026TUR - AGalatasaray - Fenerbahce1 & GG3.256/10✅
25/10/2026FRA - L1Angers - LorientBTTS (GG)1.808/10❌
25/10/2026SPA - LLBarcelona - Real MadridGG at HT2.557/10❌
25/10/2026ENG - PLMan Utd - Bournemouth1 & GG3.806/10❌
25/10/2026ITA - AAtalanta - Frosinone11.858/10❌
24/10/2026ITA - ACagliari - BolognaBTTS (GG)1.808/10❌
24/10/2026ENG - PLAston Villa - Man City14.956/10✅
24/10/2026GER - BLDortmund - EintrachtX/1 at HT/FT5.256/10✅
24/10/2026ITA - ANapoli - Roma2-3 goals2.008/10❌
23/10/2026ITA - ATorino - MonzaBTTS (GG)1.758/10✅
23/10/2026NED - AGA Eagles - Telstar1 & Over 2.52.107/10✅
23/10/2026GER - BLStuttgart - GladbachGG & Over 3.52.107/10✅
22/10/2026EULJuventus - RennesBTTS (GG)1.808/10✅
22/10/2026EULLech Poznan - SunderlandOver 2.51.807/10❌
22/10/2026CLGetafe - Lugano11.888/10❌
22/10/2026EULHoffenheim - Lyon23.508/10❌
21/10/2026CHLInter - ShakhtarBTTS (GG)1.758/10❌
21/10/2026CHLBetis - Feyenoord1 & Over 2.52.007/10❌
21/10/2026CHLAston Villa - Viking1 & Over 3.52.007/10✅
21/10/2026CHLReal Madrid - Leipzig1 & GG2.158/10✅
20/10/2026CHLMan City - AEKBTTS (GG)2.107/10✅
20/10/2026CHLPSG - BarcelonaBTTS (GG) at HT2.508/10❌
20/10/2026CHLNapoli - Bodo Glimt11.808/10✅
20/10/2026CHLLiverpool - Villareal1 & GG2.758/10✅
19/10/2026ITA - AMonza - CagliariBTTS (GG)1.808/10❌
19/10/2026ENG - PLTottenham - Coventry1 & GG2.958/10✅
19/10/2026TUR - ATrabzonspor - BesiktasGG & Over 2.51.759/10❌
18/10/2026FRA - ALorient - MonacoBTTS (GG)1.808/10❌
18/10/2026SPA - LLReal Madrid - SevillaBTTS (GG)1.907/10✅
18/10/2026ITA - AMilan - AtalantaGG & Over 2.52.108/10✅
17/10/2026BRA - AAthletico - PalmeirasBTTS (GG)1.759/10❌
17/10/2026SPA - LLValencia - Bilbao13.257/10❌
17/10/2026ENG - PLNewcastle - Aston Villa23.107/10✅
17/10/2026ITA - ABologna - InterGG & Under 4.52.308/10✅
16/10/2026BRA - AMirasol - InternacionalBTTS (GG)1.759/10❌
16/10/2026GER - BLEintracht - KolnGG & Over 3.52.008/10❌
16/10/2026FRA - ALe Mans - ToulouseX3.605/10❌
16/10/2026ENG - CHBurnley - WolvesX3.555/10❌
15/10/2026EULCelta - JuventusBTTS (GG)2.008/10✅
15/10/2026EULBenfica - CelticOver 3.52.158/10✅
15/10/2026CLFreiburg - Jablonec1 & Over 2.51.838/10✅
15/10/2026CLPanathinaikos - Borac1/1 & Over 2.52.158/10✅
14/10/2026CHLShakhtar - AEKBTTS (GG)1.709/10✅
14/10/2026CHLAston Villa - FenerbahceGG & Over 2.52.009/10❌
14/10/2026CHLFeyenoord - ComoGG & Under 4.52.208/10❌
14/10/2026CHLLASK - LiverpoolUnder 2.52.707/10❌
13/10/2026CHLGalatasaray - Barcelona2/2 at HT/FT1.848/10❌
13/10/2026CHLViking - BayernBTTS (GG)1.789/10✅
13/10/2026CHLVillareal - Napoli23.306/10❌
13/10/2026CHLAtletico - Man Utd11.978/10✅
13/10/2026CHLArsenal - LilleBTTS (GG)2.257/10❌
13/10/2026CHLLens - SportingX3.755/10❌
12/10/2026SPA - LLLevante - SevillaBTTS (GG)1.809/10✅
12/10/2026ENG - PLCoventry - NewcastleGG & Under 5.52.108/10✅
12/10/2026ITA - AAtalanta - VeneziaX/1 at HT/FT4.755/10❌
11/10/2026BRA - AAtletico MG - SantosBTTS (GG)1.809/10✅
11/10/2026ENG - PLLiverpool - Man City2-3 goals2.008/10✅
11/10/2026ENG - PLHull - EvertonUnder 2.51.858/10❌
11/10/2026ITA - AComo - RomaGG & Under 4.52.108/10❌
10/10/2026SPA - LLAlaves - AtleticoBTTS (GG)1.808/10✅
10/10/2026SPA - LLReal - Villareal1 & GG2.308/10❌
10/10/2026ENG - PLChelsea - Bournemouth11.807/10✅
10/10/2026ENG - PLArsenal - LeedsX/1 at HT/FT4.755/10✅
09/10/2026SPA - LLMalaga - EspanyolBTTS (GG)1.808/10✅
09/10/2026GER - BLDortmund - WerderBTTS No (NG)2.257/10❌
09/10/2026POR - LPBraga - Sporting CPGG & Over2.158/10✅
09/10/2026NOR - ABrann - VikingOver 1.5 at HT2.108/10✅
08/10/2026BRA - AAthletico Par. - Atletico MGBTTS (GG)1.808/10✅
08/10/2026BRA - APalmeiras - Bahia1 & Under 4.51.909/10✅
08/10/2026BRA - AFluminense - CoritibaOver 2.51.907/10✅
07/10/2026BRA - ARemo - GremioBTTS (GG)1.728/10✅
07/10/2026BRA - ABragantino - Mirasol24.755/10❌
07/10/2026BRA - AInternacional - Corinthians12.257/10✅
06/10/2026UNLCroatia - SpainBTTS (GG)1.857/10✅
06/10/2026UNLMoldova - SlovakiaOver 2.51.807/10✅
06/10/2026UNLAlbaina - San MarinoNG & Over 3.52.008/10❌
05/10/2026UNLBosnia - PolandBTTS (GG)1.678/10❌
05/10/2026UNLFrance - BelgiumGG & Over 2.51.937/10✅
04/10/2026UNLNetherlands - SerbiaBTTS (GG)2.207/10✅
04/10/2026UNLPortugal - NorwayGG & Over 2.51.758/10✅
04/10/2026UNLGreece - GermanyGG & Under 4.52.207/10❌
03/10/2026UNLCroatia - EnglandBTTS (GG)1.679/10❌
03/10/2026BRA - AAtl. Mineiro - Bragantino12.159/10✅
02/10/2026UNLBelgium - TurkeyBTTS (GG)1.609/10❌
02/10/2026UNLBosnia - SwedenGG & Over 2.52.008/10❌
02/10/2026UNLFrance - Italy2-3 goals2.007/10✅
01/10/2026UNLGermany - SerbiaBTTS (GG)1.907/10❌
01/10/2026UNLDenmark - PortugalGG & Over 2.52.008/10✅
01/10/2026UNLGreece - Netherlands2-3 goals2.007/10❌
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