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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 25 – Friday

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Fenerbahce – ALBA Berlin

Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (14-10) has won its last nine games and has the longest active winning streak in the competition, led by Nando De Colo (13.8 ppg., 3.9 apg.), Jan Vesely (13.0 ppg., 5.1 rpg.) and Marko Guduric (12.2 ppg.). ALBA Berlin (8-16) has registered only one victory in its last seven games. Simone Fontecchio (10.1 ppg.), Peyton Siva (10.1 ppg.) and Marcus Eriksson (10.0 ppg.) have been the German champs’ top scorers until now.

Fenerbahce has climbed to third place in three-point shooting percentage (40.7%) and is effective inside the arc, ranking second at 56.8%. The team, however, still allows a competition-high 11.5 offensive rebounds per night. Better boxing out would make Fenerbahce even more competitive and it relies on Vesely, Kyle O’Quinn and Ahmet Duverioglu to be more aggressive under the defensive glass.

  • Niels Giffey has been missing in action since Round 17 with an injury.
  • Jayson Granger is sidelined after having hand surgery.

ALBA has allowed opponents to make 56.6% of their two-point shots so far this season. It must protect its paint a bit better with shot-blockers such as Lammers and Thiemann and avoid easy points in transition by cutting down its turnovers; ALBA ranks second at 14.9 per night. The German champs are making just 51.1% of their two-point shots and still rank second in assists (19.7 apg.). Running the offense through Siva and Luke Sikma should be mandatory for ALBA to be more effective.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-9.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 19/02/2021, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Zenit

Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (7-16) is on a three-game losing streak, but comes off a big weekend in which it lifted the Serbian Cup trophy. Jordan Loyd (16.9 ppg.), Ognjen Dobric (7.2 ppg.) and Dejan Davidovac (6.6 ppg.) are leading the team right now. Zenit St Petersburg (13-9) has lost its last three EuroLeague games. Kevin Pangos (11.7 ppg., 6.2 apg.), Arturas Gudaitis (10.7 ppg., 4.5 rpg.) and Will Thomas (8.9 ppg., 5.2 rpg.) have been its pillars this season.

  • Marko Simonovic, who has missed the last seven games with an injury, is expected back this week.

Zvezda has been without Corey Walden, Langston Hall, Quino Colom, Landry Nnoko and O’Bryant lately, but some players may return to the team against Zenit. Marko Simonovic is back in action, giving Coach Dejan Radonjic a reliable scoring option from beyond the arc. Zvezda allowed 83.5 points in its last two losses and must bring that number down to be more competitive. On offense, Duop Reath and Ognjen Kuzmic should be ready to attack Thomas and Gudaitis in the low post.

  • Alex Poythress has been unavailable for Zenit’s since Round 17.

Zenit has some of the best defensive numbers in the competition, allowing just 75.0 points per night. Opponents have made only 52.4% of their two-point shots on average and struggle even more (36.2%) from downtown. Zenit, however, has allowed 86.3 points in its last three losses and opponents hit shots with higher percentages (54.6% 2FG, 48.1% 3FG). Being loyal to its defensive identity should be Zenit’s number one priority, as it has enough talented players to make the difference on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (+7.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 19/02/2021, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

Villeurbanne – Bayern

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (10-14) has won its last four games. That is its longest in-season winning streak in the competition. Norris Cole (13.5 ppg.) has been its top scorer until now, followed by David Lighty (11.4 ppg.) and Guerschon Yabusele (9.8 ppg.). FC Bayern Munich (15-9) is on a three-game winning streak. Vladimir Lucic (13.6 ppg., 4.8 rpg.), Wade Baldwin IV (14.3 ppg., 3.8 rpg.) and Jalen Reynolds (14.5 ppg., 6.5 rpg.) have been its pillars throughout the season.

ASVEL has shot the ball really well in its last two games, combining to make 47 of 71 two-pointers (66.2%) and 16 of 36 threes (44.4%). Getting close to those numbers may be critical against a first-class defensive team like Bayern. On defense, stopping Lucic is important and ASVEL can rely on Lighty and William Howard to give him trouble at both ends. If Cole and Antoine Diot can push ASVEL to play up-tempo and find easy shots in transition, the French powerhouse could be on its way to another win.

  • Robin Amaize and Zan Mark Sisko have missed the last seven games.

Bayern only allows 77.7 points on average, mainly because of its excellent three-point defense. Opponents score only 33.7% of their shots from downtown and that should be important against a team with good shooters such as Diot, Matthew Strazel, Lighty and Howard. Stopping Moustapha Fall down low should be a priority for Bayern, which can count on Reynolds and Radosevic to play physical against him. Running its offense through Reynolds and Lucic, looking for advantages in one-on-one situations, should be critical, too.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 155.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 19/02/2021, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

Valencia – Real Madrid

Before the recent break, Valencia Basket (12-12) scored a double-overtime home win against CSKA Moscow and hopes to build on that, led by Bojan Dubljevic (10.3 ppg., 5.5 rpg.), Nikola Kalinic (10.3 ppg.) and Klemen Prepelic (12.4 ppg.). Real Madrid (15-9) last EuroLeague game was an ugly home loss against TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and it looks to bounce back. Walter Tavares (11.5 ppg., 7.8 rpg., 1.9 bpg.), Trey Thompkins (10.4 ppg., 4.5 rpg.) and Sergio Llull (8.9 ppg.) are leading the team right now.

Bringing Tavares out of his comfort zone should be important and Valencia relies on Tobey and Dubljevic, a pair of centers with deep shooting range, to do so. Valencia should control the game tempo through Sam Van Rossom and Martin Hermannsson, preventing Llull and Carlos Alocen from starting Real’s transition game.

  • Anthony Randolph is out with a ruptured left Achilles tendon.

Real did an excellent job against Valencia last week, playing with a high tempo and running its offense through an unstoppable Deck, whose versatility and effectiveness made the difference. Deck, Abalde and Thompkins must open the floor to give Tavares more room to play in the low post against Dubljevic and Tobey. As always, Llull and Jaycee Carroll should be ready to dynamite the game if their team is stuck on offense. If Real rebounds well and runs the floor, not many teams can stop Los Blancos.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 19/02/2021, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net

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PREVIEWS

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Thursday

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Khimki – ALBA Berlin

Khimki Moscow Region will look to keep its momentum going and put together back-to-back wins for the first time this season when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Friday. Khimki defeated Real Madrid on Tuesday to snap a 17-game losing streak and improve to 3-23. ALBA faltered in the fourth quarter in losing at Zenit St Petersburg on Tuesday. It was the German champs’ third straight loss on the road. ALBA is 4-9 in road games this season.

It all starts with defense for Khimki. With Alexey Shved, Errick McCollum and Jordan Mickey, all know that Khimki can score in bunches. However, it has also allowed the most points in the league (90.5 ppg.) by far; ALBA is second on that list with 82.7. In Khimki’s three wins, the opponents have averaged only 79.0 points. Keeping ALBA below 80 may be the key for the hosts.

  • Devin Booker has missed the last six games.
  • Stefan Jovic has not played in the last five games.
  • Janis Timma did not play in the last two games.
  • Khimki parted ways with Dairis Bertans.

For a team with many great three-point shooters, ALBA’s 35.8% accuracy for the season is surprisingly low. A healthy Marcus Eriksson and Niels Giffey should help raise that number. Khimki has allowed its opponents to make a league-best 43.3% on threes and if ALBA can take advantage and light up the scoreboard from downtown, it would be in a better spot to challenge for a road win in Moscow.

  • Jayson Granger is out after having hand surgery.
  • Louis Olinde is expected to miss several weeks after injuring his hand ahead of Round 25.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 170.5 at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

Zalgiris – Milano

Two teams coming off opposite experiences earlier this week will square off Friday as Zalgiris Kaunas (15-12) welcomes AX Armani Exchange Milan (17-10) for Round 28. After a losing skid, Zalgiris was back to winning on Tuesday against ASVEL, 85-75. On the other hand, Milan saw its incipient winning streak snapped at home against Fenerbahce, 92-100. Milan plays to stay among the top four teams in the league, while Zalgiris sits at ninth place and could get into playoffs position with a win.

Facing a Milan offense that ranks third in scoring (82.0 ppg.), Zalgiris will have to power up its defense, especially on the perimeter, where the visitors own the league’s best three-point proficiency (42.5%). Zalgiris is also the worst team in blocks per game (1.1), so defense in the paint against Milan’s big men will also be paramount. Zalgiris boasts solid stats across a wide range of categories, all of which might be needed to hold serve at home against a dangerous visitor.

Milan suffered a tough loss at home, but on paper has been a bit more consistent than Zalgiris. Since the hosts lead the league from the free-throw line (85.5%), the fewer trips they take to that spot, the better for Milan. However, the PIR averages for both teams stay very close to each other (87.8 to 89.9) so it seems that it will all come down to details in this battle with high stakes.

  • Zach LeDay has missed the last four games with an injury.
  • Malcolm Delaney did not play in Round 27.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 154.5 at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

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Olympiacos – Crvena Zvezda

One team will end an eight-game losing streak on Friday as Olympiacos Piraeus (11-16) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (7-20) for Round 28. The Reds are currently on a bad streak that started in Round 20 and continued earlier this week with a tough, 91-66 defeat at Baskonia. Already-eliminated Zvezda is in the same situation. They have not won since Round 19 and fell earlier this week at home against Bayern by a close 76-78. This game will be the reprieve that one of these teams need.

If Olympiacos wants to get back in the playoffs race, it needs to win ASAP, as there will not be many more chances to do so on its home floor. Also, Zvezda has the worst scoring (73.5 ppg.) and assists (14.1 apg.) in the league, so solid defense should let the Reds run a bit on offense to try to get easier buckets. The hosts will have to overcome some key absences, and if the game gets as close as their previous one, details could be key, including their 77.4% from the stripe, seventh worst in the league, against Zvezda’s fourth-best 82.3%.

  • Kostas Papanikolaou has missed Olympiacos’s last 12 games.
  • Georgios Printezis did not play in Round 27.
  • Hassan Martin is sidelined with a knee injury.

The guests are in a bad spot, no question. With just seven more possible wins, the best they could so this season is a 14-20, which means they are mathematically out of the playoffs. However, this game could be a good chance for Zvezda to get back on the winning track and try to get some team chemistry back after all the COVID issues it has suffered the last weeks. Olympiacos will be playing for its survival in this game, but with nothing to lose, Zvezda could regroup and play without fear to try to play spoiler and boost morale for the rest of the season.

  • Landry Nnoko, Duop Reath and Quino Colom all missed the last four games because of COVID-19.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 152.5 at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

Villeurbanne – Fenerbahce

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (12-15) comes off a loss after six consecutive victories and hopes to bounce back at home. Norris Cole (13.8 ppg.), David Lighty (11.7 ppg.) and Moustapha Fall (9.4 ppg., 5.6 rpg.) have been its main pillars throughout the season. Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (16-11), winner of 11 out of 12 games, wants to keep rising toward the playoffs. Its led by Jan Vesely (13.2 ppg., 5.5 rpg.), Nando De Colo (15.1 ppg., 4.1 apg.) and Marko Guduric (11.8 ppg., 3.2 apg.).

ASVEL made 46.9% of its three-point shots (54-of-115) during its six-game winning streak. It only hit 8-of-25 attempts from downtown (32%) in its Round 27 loss against Zalgiris Kaunas. That is, more three-point shots with a worse percentage. It is important for ASVEL to find balance on offense, feeding Fall and Guerschon Yabusele for one-on-one chances to open the floor for the team’s many shooters, especially William Howard (55.1% 3FG). On defense, preventing De Colo from running the show should be critical, too.

  • Derrick Walton has been sidelined for several weeks with a hip injury.
  • Antoine Diot did not play in the last two games.

Fenerbahce has been improving its shooting percentages throughout the season, and it now ranks third from downtown (40.6% 3FG) and from the free throw line (83.8%), and second inside the arc (57.0% 2FG). Being able to keep those solid shooting percentages is critical against a physical team like ASVEL. Fenerbahce had 22 assists and just 10 turnovers against AX Armani Exchange Milan in Round 27. Jan Vesely had 8 of those assists, and running its offense through its star center should be a plus again for the Turkish powerhouse.

  • Edgaras Ulanovas missed Round 27 game after being the only Fenerbahce player to start in each of the first 26.

basketball prediction Tip: Winning Margin 3-way Any Other (1-5 points) at 2.75 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

Barcelona – Baskonia

C Barcelona (19-8) leads the standings and comes off a brilliant road win against Panathinaikos OPAP Athens. Nikola Mirotic (16.6 ppg., 6.0 rpg.), Cory Higgins (12.9 ppg.) and Brandon Davies (12.1 ppg.) are leading the team so far this season. TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (14-13) is on a five-game winning streak, and each of its last four victories was by at least 20 points. Alec Peters (12.0 ppg.) is Baskonia’s top scorer, followed by Rokas Giedraitis (11.8 ppg.) and Achille Polonara (11.3 ppg.).

Barcelona is shooting the ball very well this season (55.8% 2FG, 40.6% 3FG) but leads the 2020-21 EuroLeague in turnovers (14.9 per game). Cutting those turnovers would make Barcelona even more competitive. It all starts with defense for head coach Sarunas Jasikevicius, and Barcelona allows opponents to shoot with a league-low 48.1% inside the arc and just 34.4% from downtown, while ranking second in defensive rebounds (24.1 drpg.). On defense, preventing Luca Vildoza and Pierria Henry from dominating the game tempo should be Barcelona’s main priority.

Baskonia has limited all opponents to less than 70 points in its current five-game winning streak. Those opponents combined had 85-for-187 two-point shooting (45.5%), which speaks volumes about Baskonia’s paint protection. At the same time, Baskonia has been really effective inside the arc, hitting 114 of 191 two-pointers (59.7%). If Baskonia sticks to those percentages at both ends and manages to prevent Abrines, Higgins and Kuric from dynamiting the game from the three-point line, it should have good chances to win.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.5) at 1.90 with bet365
( Euroleague predictions with correct price at 05/03/2021, 09:00 CET. Odds subject to change )

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PREVIEWS

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Thursday

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Zenit – Real Madrid

It will be a tough battle for the playoffs on Thursday when sixth-placed Zenit St Petersburg (16-10) welcomes seventh-placed Real Madrid (16-11). Zenit got back to the win column on Tuesday against ALBA Berlin, 87-71, and has now won two of its last three games. Also on Tuesday, Real fell at Khimki, 78-77, and now has three losses in its last four games. Expect a tough battle between direct opponents.

Zenit has one of the weaker offenses in the league, but also the second-best defense, and that will probably be its main focus to try to defeat Real. Curiously enough, Zenit has better percentages from the field, so maintaining that consistency on offense will also be key to try to defeat a Real team that will visit St Petersburg with some notable absences. It can be a good chance for Zenit to have its revenge, beat the guests for the first time and also take a giant step forward in the race for the playoffs.

Real is going through a rough patch and will surely arrive to St Petersburg wounded after the loss to Khimki. On paper, the guests show better numbers almost everywhere, but the absences of Sergio Llull, Anthony Randolph and Rudy Fernandez are having an impact on the team’s performance lately. Also, Zenit is one of the most consistent teams in the league, so Real will have to face this game against a direct rival in the standings with 100% focus.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 at 2.05 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/03/2021, 11:00 CET, subject to change)

Efes – CSKA Moscow

Two teams with winning momentum will face each other on Thursday when Anadolu Efes Istanbul (16-10) welcomes defending champs CSKA Moscow (18-8) for a duel right in the heat of the playoffs race. Efes has won eight of its last nine games, including the last five. Its newest success came on Tuesday with a home win over Valencia Basket, 99-83. After a short skid, CSKA has started a new winning streak and on Tuesday it defeated Maccabi on the road, 80-84.

Efes has huge momentum going for it. The team is winning and playing better and better, so the duel against CSKA probably arrives at the perfect moment. CSKA still has the best offense in the league (83.6 ppg.) but Efes is not far behind (81.5 ppg.) and also has the third-best defense. The hosts will have to make good use of their defense and pay attention to the boards, as CSKA leads the league in that front (37.0 rpg.).

CSKA is back to its winning ways. This week’s victory in Tel Aviv is always a huge morale boost, and now it has to face arguably the hottest team in the league. Efes is rolling, so the guests will have to make good use of all their weapons for a chance to win. Newcomer Iffe Lundberg seems to have adapted right away, and he will be a key piece in the CSKA puzzle. The biggest stain for CSKA is the second-worst two-point accuracy (50.9%) in the league, so trying to get better options inside can go a long way for the still-defending champs.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 166.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/03/2021, 11:00 CET, subject to change)

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Maccabi – Valencia

Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv (10-15) will try to put an end to its four-game losing streak and catch the last train to join the playoffs race when it welcomes Valencia Basket (14-13) on Thursday. It is the second game in a double-round week for each team. Maccabi is coming off a home 80-84 loss against CSKA Moscow. Valencia, on the other hand, is a win away from the final playoff spot and will try to rebound from a 99-83 loss at Anadolu Efes Istanbul.

It is imperative for Maccabi to find a way to rediscover its offense. After averaging 80.0 per game until Round 22, Maccabi has not managed to score more than 75 points in three consecutive losses, then scored just 33 points in the first half of Tuesday’s game against CSKA. Against Valencia, which ranks second in scoring with 82.6 points per game and dishes a league-high 20.3 assists, Maccabi will need to have better offensive production.

Valencia needs to bounce back from a loss 48 hours earlier and get back its momentum as it is trying to catch up in the playoffs race. Offense has not been a problem for Valencia, and even in Tuesday’s loss in Istanbul, the team made 14 triples and had 20 assists. But Valencia must come out with an extra dose of energy against the hosts, who are playing with their backs against the wall.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+3.0) at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/03/2021, 11:00 CET, subject to change)

Bayern Munich – Panathinaikos

FC Bayern Munich (17-10) will be looking to continue its run of good form and a historic playoff push when it hosts Panathinaikos OPAP Athens (9-16) on Thursday. Bayern, a winner in five of its last six games, is aiming to make the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague Playoffs for the first time ever, and is coming of a come-from-behind 76-78 road win over Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade. Meanwhile, Panathinaikos is all but eliminated from the playoffs race but will be looking to bounce back after losing 77-85 at home against FC Barcelona.

Bayern has won five of its last six games but has pulled out each of the last three victories similarly dramatic fashion, with come-from-behind efforts after trailing for the first three quarters, only to make a late fourth-quarter rally. Coach Andrea Trinchieri and his players will need to avoid that same pattern against Panathinaikos and try to take control of the rhythm and the scoreboard earlier in this contest.

Before allowing 85 points in its loss against Barcelona on Tuesday, the Greens had strung together five games in which they allowed 78 or fewer points. Panathinaikos will need to make sure it matches Bayern’s toughness and physicality in this contest. It will be important for Panathinaikos to control the boards and keeps its defensive focused against Bayern, which plays disciplined and patient basketball.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+7.5) at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/03/2021, 11:00 CET, subject to change)

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 27 – Wednesday

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Spanoulis Olympiacos

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Baskonia – Olympiacos

In a showdown between two teams on the outside of the playoff zone, TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz hosts Olympiacos Piraeus on Wednesday. Baskonia (13-13) has been on a roll recently with four straight wins. Olympiacos (11-15) has slumped with six consecutive defeats. Though the Reds have a winning record on the road this season (7-6), Baskonia is 8-5 on its home court.

It is always tougher to win on the road when getting outrebounded and that’s good for Baskonia, which has been a superior rebounding team this season. To date, Baskonia has outrebounded its opponents by 3.5 per game on average, while Olympiacos has been outrebounded by 1.2. What’s more, Baskonia is third in the league in offensive boards at 10.9 per game. With Hassan Martin sidelined for the Reds, Baskonia will look to Achile Polonara, Tonye Jekiri and Moustapha Fall to control the glass in what could be the key to victory.

Turnovers have been an issue for both teams this season; they each average 14.3 per game, which is tied for fourth-most in the league. Baskonia has made up for its turnovers by leading the league in steals (8.0 spg.) and ranking second in assists (19.9 apg.). Olympiacos will not only need to cut down on its turnovers in this game, but increased defensive pressure on the Baskonia backcourt could also make a big difference.

  • Kostas Papanikolaou has missed Olympiacos’s last 11 games.
  • Hassan Martin is sidelined with a knee injury.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 03/03/2021, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

Armani Milano – Fenerbahce

AX Armani Exchange Milan will look to extend its home-court dominance when it hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul on Wednesday. Milan (17-9) has won its last six home games and is 10-4 in the fashion capital this season. Fenerbahce (15-11) saw its 10-game winning streak come to an end last week, but Coach Kokoskov’s squad won three games on the road in that game.

Milan has scored over 80 points in its last four wins while dishing 77 assists and committing just 33 turnovers for a superb ratio of 2.3. It may need that excellent ball circulation against a physical team like Fenerbahce and both point guards, Sergio Rodriguez and Malcolm Delaney, should play a critical role in that. On defense, it is important to stop Vesely down low and Milan can look to on Hines and Jeremy Evans to do so.

  • Jeff Brooks has not played in the last seven games.
  • Zach LeDay has missed the last three games with an injury.

Fenerbahce has slowly but steadily improved its three-point shooting percentage throughout the season and it now ranks fifth overall at 40.1%. Ali Muhammed is back, giving Fenerbahce another weapon on a team full of great three-pointer shooters such as De Colo, Gurudic and Jarell Eddie. On defense, Fenerbahce must try to break up Milan’s fluency on offense and playing hard, on-the-ball defense against Rodriguez and Delaney could be the key to achieving that goal.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 160.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 03/03/2021, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

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